OECD Cuts Global Growth Forecast In Light Of Tariff Threat
OECD Cuts Global Growth Forecast In Light Of Tariff ThreatThe global economy is projected to grow slower than previously expected this year, as the trade war started by the Trump administration has shaken business and consumer confidence, created a lot of uncertainty and added to inflationary pressu
Inflation Adjusted House Prices 1.0% Below 2022 Peak; Price-to-rent index is 8.1% below 2022 peak
Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Inflation Adjusted House Prices 1.0% Below 2022 PeakExcerpt: It has been almost 19 years since the housing bubble peak, ancient history for some readers!In the March Case-Shiller house price index released yesterday, the seasonally adjusted Natio
Goldman Unexpectedly Finds Signs Of Life In Working-Poor Consumer
Goldman Unexpectedly Finds Signs Of Life In Working-Poor ConsumerAmid doom-and-gloom inflation forecasts from Democrat-leaning UMich respondents and port shortage panic fueled by left-leaning corporate media, Goldman analysts have uncovered something very unexpected: early signs of life among lower-
News Wrap: White House terminates another $450 million in grants to Harvard
In our news wrap Tuesday, the Trump administration is terminating another $450 million in grants to Harvard, inflation slowed for the third straight month even as some of Trump's tariffs took effect, the FAA is defending its decision to move control of Newark's airspace to Philadelphia and Zelenskyy
Bank’s move appears to go against the theory that rate cuts will lead to rising inflation and higher wage demandsTwo trade deals and a rate cut in one week … are things looking up?The return of spring weather across much of the UK last week brought some rare glimmers of sunshine for the UK’s struggl
英国金融政策（5月ＭＰＣ公表）－トランプ関税が利下げを後押し
英格兰银行（BOE）担任货币政策委员会（MPC），并于5月8日宣布其货币政策政策。概述如下。 [货币政策决定] - 政策利率（银行利率）将减少到4.25％（5至2：2，有两个人声称将其降低至4.00％，并且有两个人声称保留为4.50％）[议程（目的）的总结] - 2025年的增长率（目的）为1％，在2026年为1.25％，2027年度为1.25％（超过2027年）（超过2027年）（超过2027年）（超过2027年）（超过2027年）（超过2027年）。 2025年的通货膨胀前景为3.25％，2026年为2％，2027年的通货膨胀前景为1.75％（2025年的修订比上一年的10月至12月
FOMC摘要：预期的是，在PBOC降低率和数十亿美元的经济中只有几个小时，在即将到来的贸易战争谈判中给XI Jining弹药提供了数十亿美元，FOMC确实……指出：FOMC表示：联邦资金的目标范围保持在4.25-4.50％之间。决定是一致的。 FOMC在其正式声明中说（斜体的变化）“尽管净出口的波动影响了数据，但最近的指标表明，经济活动持续以稳固的速度扩展。”换句话说，Q1的负GDP增长数字与委员会无关。然而，展望可能的挑战正在越来越大：“对经济前景的不确定性进一步增加了。委员会专注于双重任务和法官的风险，即更高的失业和更高的通货膨胀的风险已经上升。 Surveys have weakened
'Layoffs' and 'reduction of hours': LA port chief expects '35 percent' drop in shipping volume
Economists and businessowners are warning that President Donald Trump's steep new tariffs could not only lead to inflation, a recession, lower GDP, and a weakening of the U.S. dollar — they could also disrupt supply chains, causing empty shelves on retail shelves.According to MSNBC's Ana Cabrera, th
4月28日星期一，加拿大的联邦大选在很大程度上成为了美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）陡峭的新关税的全民投票，并呼吁加拿大成为美国的一部分。自由党的成员马克·卡尼（Mark Carney）在一个积极的反特朗普平台上奔跑并赢得了胜利 - 击败了保守党领袖皮埃尔·波利夫（Pierre Poilievre）。尽管Poilievre试图使自己与特朗普主义保持距离，但卡尼被认为是两者中更反特朗普。卡尼在胜利演讲中宣布：“特朗普总统正试图打破我们，以使美国能够拥有我们。这将永远不会发生。” READ MORE: Nastiness 'doesn't travel well': Trump
Inflation Reduction Act: Opportunities Exist to Help Ensure GSA Programs Achieve Intended Results
GAO发现的一般服务管理局（GSA）在美国的联邦建筑物中选择了362个项目，以获得降低通货膨胀法案（IRA）资金，截至2025年1月31日，该资金的目标是支持低增强的碳材料，新兴和可持续性技术，以及高级绿色建筑物。选定的应用包括低排放混凝土，电动热泵和建筑水平的能量计。 GSA对这些项目的估计成本占其可用IRA资金总额的99％。截至2025年1月31日，GSA报告了其可用IRA资金的49％义务，并花费了5％（见表）。 As of February 2025, GSA officials stated that the IRA program is under review and priori
'Uncertainty' leads to a record number of Americans who are financing their groceries
“立即购买，稍后付款”（BNPL）通常与购买奢侈品的购买有关。但是一份新报告表明，这已经成为许多美国人购买杂货这样的基本需求的方式。福特周一报告说，根据Lendingtree的一项新调查，大约有四分之一的美国人正在为杂货和食品提供购买。在该调查中，在2,000名受访者中，大约有四分之一说，他们将BNPL用于食品购买，这与去年的贷方调查中的14％数字相比有所增加。 Roughly one-third of respondents in the Gen Z demographic said they used a BNPL service to pay for food last year.“It
Dollar Crashes On Powell Speculation, Gold Soars To All Time High And Bitcoin Suddenly Spikes
美元崩溃在鲍威尔的投机上，金黄色飙升至有史以来的高点，比特币突然飙升是一个悲惨的缩短一周的可怜缩短，在亚洲早期的交易中，不良的一周变得越来越糟，当美元的索引突然倒塌到一个新的3年低时，没有什么特定的催化剂倒塌了。 are selling the dollar against virtually any currencies after National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said Friday that President Donald Trump is still exploring ways to remove Federal
Powell Warns of ‘Challenging Scenario’ for Fed as Trade War Rages
认为，消费者面临更高价格的很有可能性，而由于关税的增加，失业率会增加，而WSJ的尼克·蒂拉奥拉斯（Nick Timiraos）增加了。 Excerpts:[Federal Reserve Chair Jerome] "Powell said he saw a “strong likelihood” that consumers would face higher prices and that the economy would see higher unemployment as a result of tariffs in the short run. This would create
April 2025- Numbers To Consider
The most current numbers for the following: Gas Prices: Milk Prices (Feb. 2025): Egg Prices (Feb. 2025): Bread Prices (Feb. 2025): Consumer Confidence: Presidential Approval Ratings: Federal Interest Rates: Dow Jones Ind. Inflation Rate: North Carolina Tax Rates: Minimum Wage in NC: Umemployment rat
Are Democrats Unintentionally Sabotaging Retailer Target
是民主党人无意间破坏零售商的目标是每月访问的新高频数据，而消费者情绪指标表明，零售巨头目标的活动放缓。有趣的是，当在更广泛的零售业中应用相同的数据时，类似的软化迹象在其他零售商中也差不多，这提出了一个问题：为什么Target被更难受到打击？一种潜在的解释在于Target客户群的政治组成。 Data from the research firm Morning Consult showed a strong tilt toward Democratic-leaning consumers, a group currently exhibiting apocalyptic views on the
Peter Schiff: Stagflation Is Here And The Fed Is Clueless
彼得·席夫（Peter Schiff）：停滞在这里，美联储是Cluelessvia Schiffgold.com，在周日的彼得·席夫（Peter Schiff）节目中，彼得（Peter）解决了对美联储的误导乐观，升级关税的危险以及令人不安的迹象的危险。 Peter takes a critical view of Jerome Powell’s policies, scrutinizes the logic behind rate cuts amidst ongoing inflation, and warns investors that Bitcoin will continue to f
'The Canary Is Sick': Blackrock's Fink Says Most CEOs Telling Him 'We're Already In Recession'
'金丝雀病了'：贝莱德的芬克说，大多数首席执行官都告诉他'我们已经在经济衰退的blackrock首席执行官拉里·芬克（Larry Fink）说，他说的大多数首席执行官说，他说这个国家已经在经济衰退中'，三天内的20％市场下降将对客户产生'潜在的波动影响'，并补充说，他仍然拒绝了20％的receess of 20％receess''彭博电视台主持人埃里克·沙兹克（Erik Shatzker）问：“我与之交谈的大多数首席执行官都会说我们现在可能正在经济衰退，”芬克回答说，并补充说，金丝雀病了。“哇！ BlackRock首席执行官Fink说，我们现在正在衰退。 pic.twitter.com/gkv
Jamie Dimon Urges Quick Resolution To Tariff Standoff
Jamie Dimon Urges Quick Resolution To Tariff StandoffThere was a brief glimmer of hope for equity futures this morning, when amid the market rout, JPM CEO Jamie Dimon urged a quick resolution to the uncertainties sparked by Trump’s tariffs and warned against a potentially “disastrous” fragmentation
