1 The CEMAC semi-annual Economic Barometer was prepared by an MTI team comprising of Robert Johann Utz (Lead Economist), Djeneba Doumbia (Economist), Erick Tjong (Economist), Amina Coulibaly (Senior Economist), Vincent Belinga (Senior Economist), Demet Kaya (Senior Economist), Marilyne Youbi (Economist), Pierre Mandon (Economist), Diderot Guy D'Estaing Sandjong Tomi (Economist), Sonia Barbara Ondo Ndong (Economist), Francis Ghislain Ngomba Bodi (Economist), Claudia Noumedem Temgoua (Economist), and Chris Belmert Milindi Katindi (ET consultant), under the guidance of Sandeep Mahajan (Practice Manager), and with the support of Irene Sitienei和ifeoma clementina ikenye(程序助理)。该报告由Cheick Fantamady Kante(国家董事)清除。该更新反映了截至2024年4月1日的信息。有关任何问题或评论,请联系Djeneba Doumbia(ddoumbia@worldbank.org)和Erick Tjong(etjong@worldbank.org)。
在转型国家,更具体地说是中非经货共同体 (Cemac) 地区的国家,近年来其经济似乎出现了流动性陷阱的症状,经济增长乏力、失业率高企、需求低迷。本文在理论模型假设的基础上,进行了实证估计。模型结果表明,这种现象在中非经货共同体地区确实存在,货币政策无效,因此只能通过创新的财政稳定与复苏政策来应对,一方面旨在促进私营部门发展,另一方面推动参与式公共政策,将经济权力下放给民间社会、部门和地方民选官员。这种改革旨在提高公共政策在充满不确定性和贫困的背景下的有效性。