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不丹：为气候弹性准备可再生能源
3。气候风险评估。基于对项目的初始气候风险筛查评估，拟议投资的绩效可能会受到气候条件未来变化及其影响，包括温度升高，降水量升高，洪水和陆地滑动风险的影响。要实现拟议投资的影响和产出，需要进行气候风险和脆弱性评估（CRVA），以提供详细且集中的风险和脆弱性评估，以确定并在可能的程度上从气候变化和可变性中量化项目风险，并提供相应的适应度量。CRVA的输出将用于最终确定详细的设计，以确保拟议的投资对可行的范围可行。
Bojanala铂金区市政府
°C Degree Celsius AFF Agriculture, Forestry, and Fisheries AR5 Fifth Assessment Report CABLE CSIRO Atmosphere Biosphere Land Exchange model CCAM Conformal-cubic atmospheric model CDRF Climate and Disaster Resilience Fund CMIP5 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 CoGTA Department of Cooperative Governance and Traditional Affairs CRVA Climate Risk and Vulnerability Assessment CSIR Council for Scientific and Industrial Research CSIRO Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation BPDM Bojanala Platinum District Municipality DEA Department of Environmental Affairs DM District Municipality DRR Disaster Risk Reduction DWS Department of Water and Sanitation EcVI Economic Vulnerability Index EnVI Environmental Vulnerability Index GCM General circulation model GRiMMS Groundwater Drought Risk Mapping and Management System GVA Gross Value Added GDP Gross Domestic Product IDRC International Development Research Centre IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change km Kilometre l/p/d Litres Per Person Per Day LM Local Municipality MAR Mean Annual Runoff mm Millimetre NDMC National Disaster Management Centre PVI Physical Vulnerability Index RCP Representative Concentration Pathways SCIMAP Sensitive Catchment Integrated Modelling and Prediction SDF Spatial Development Framework SEVI Socio-Economic Vulnerability Index SPI Standardised Precipitation索引SPLUMA空间规划和土地使用管理法，2013年（法案号2013年16日）温度湿度指数WMAS水管理区域WMO世界气象组织Wrym水资源产量模型
lejweleputswa区市政府
°C Degree Celsius AFF Agriculture, Forestry, and Fisheries AR5 Fifth Assessment Report CABLE CSIRO Atmosphere Biosphere Land Exchange model CCAM Conformal-cubic atmospheric model CDRF Climate and Disaster Resilience Fund CMIP5 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 CoGTA Department of Cooperative Governance and Traditional Affairs CRVA Climate Risk and Vulnerability Assessment CSIR Council for Scientific and Industrial Research CSIRO Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation LDM Lejweleputswa District Municipality DEA Department of Environmental Affairs DM District Municipality DRR Disaster Risk Reduction DWS Department of Water and Sanitation EcVI Economic Vulnerability Index EnVI Environmental Vulnerability Index GCM General circulation model GRiMMS Groundwater Drought Risk Mapping and Management System GVA Gross Value Added GDP Gross Domestic Product IDRC International Development Research Centre IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change km Kilometre l/p/d Litres Per Person Per Day LM Local Municipality MAR Mean Annual Runoff mm Millimetre NDMC National Disaster Management Centre PVI Physical Vulnerability Index RCP Representative Concentration Pathways SCIMAP Sensitive Catchment Integrated Modelling and Prediction SDF Spatial Development Framework SEVI Socio-Economic Vulnerability Index SPI Standardised Precipitation Index SPLUMA空间规划和土地使用管理法案，2013年（法案号2013年16日）温度湿度指数WMAS水管理区域WMO世界气象组织Wrym水资源产量模型
vhembe区市政府
°C Degree Celsius AFF Agriculture, Forestry, and Fisheries AR5 Fifth Assessment Report CABLE CSIRO Atmosphere Biosphere Land Exchange model CCAM Conformal-cubic atmospheric model CDRF Climate and Disaster Resilience Fund CMIP5 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 CoGTA Department of Cooperative Governance and Traditional Affairs CRVA Climate Risk and Vulnerability Assessment CSIR Council for Scientific and Industrial Research CSIRO联邦科学和工业研究组织DEA环境事务部DM区市政府DRR灾难降低DWS水和卫生部ECVI经济脆弱性指数环境脆弱性指数GCM通用循环指数GCM通用循环模型GRIMMS DREACH DREACK DRAUGHT DRAUNCH DRAUGHT REART WIST WIST WISP映射和管理系统GROSS GROSS GROSS GROSS GROSS GROSS INSTARK IDP IDP IDP IDP IDP IDP IDP IDP IDP IDP Panel on Climate Change km Kilometre KPA Key Performance Area l/p/d Litres Per Person Per Day LM Local Municipality MAR Mean Annual Runoff mm Millimetre NDMC National Disaster Management Centre PVI Physical Vulnerability Index RCP Representative Concentration Pathways SCIMAP Sensitive Catchment Integrated Modelling and Prediction SEVI Socio-Economic Vulnerability Index SMMEs Small, medium and micro enterprises SPI Standardised Precipitation Index SPLUMA空间规划和土地使用管理法案，2013年（法案号2013年16号）温度湿度指数VDM Vhembe区市政府WMAS水管理区
可再生能源气候适应项目
对应方 0.99 不丹政府 0.99 总计 19.25 地点：不丹西部旺杜波德朗区 Sephu（太阳能场地） 行业：能源 主题：不适用 简要说明：拟议项目将支持不丹开发一座太阳能发电厂，总发电量达 17.38 MWp。该项目有两个产出：(i) 建立公用事业规模的非水电可再生能源发电和 (ii) 提高对气候适应型可再生能源系统的知识。这些产出将共同产生以下结果：不丹的清洁能源发电系统多样化为非水电资源，并产生以下影响：碳中和以及气候和灾害适应能力提高。不丹目前的能源结构几乎完全依赖水电发电。 1 后者不仅是推动国家增长的主要发电来源，而且也是国家收入的重要来源，因为剩余发电量出售给印度，占总出口的 42.1% 和 GDP 总量的 15.5%。 2 然而，不丹的水电行业越来越容易受到气候变化的影响。喜马拉雅山脉中东部每年约 80% 的降水量是由夏季季风带来的， 3 然而，尽管预计到 21 世纪中后期夏季季风降雨量将会增加，但冬季降水量预计将会减少， 4 从而影响季节性水储量和季节性排水模式，导致极端流量增加。 5 不丹在干旱冬季的径流发电量下降已经导致其在 2018 年需要从印度净进口电力，而由于冰川和积雪储存的减少导致缓冲能力的丧失，夏季极端降雨频率增加，导致极端径流的发生率增加。 6 根据为该项目准备的 CRVA，不丹的水力发电将因洪水、冰川湖溃决洪水和山体滑坡（脚注 6）而面临更大的风险，这些灾害可能会损坏基础设施，还会导致水头池加速淤积。