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未来的通胀轨迹将由能源价格上涨和 Kharif 播种进度决定
ERD经济学家观察到，西亚战争的影响一直是本月CPI通胀的关键关注点
来源:The Hindu Business Line _经济The trajectory of future inflation will be shaped by factors such as the pass through of higher energy prices to retail prices, progress of area coverage under summer crop (which as of May 08 is showing reduction in 3 lakh hectare) and any large individual inflation movement on the negative side, according to SBI’s economic research department (ERD).
ERD经济学家表示，考虑到上述因素，2027财年的CPI将维持在4.5%。
Referring to India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rising to 3.48 per cent in April 2026, up from 3.40 per cent in March 2026, SBI’s Group Chief Economic Advisor Soumya Kanti Ghosh noted that while the overall inflation rate is flat the inflation in restaurants and accommodation services increased significantly indicating the impact of LPG shortage.
“The softening of gold and silver prices led to almost 100 basis points (bps) decline in inflation rate in the personal care division. Food inflation increased to 4.01 per cent in April 2026 from 3.71 per cent in March 2026.
“逐项数据显示，食品通胀中鸡肉、牛奶、精炼油、芥末油是主要贡献者。 This is in line with the FAO food price index which shows a third consecutive monthly increase in April 2026. Global price indices of vegetable oils increased significantly in April 2026, followed by meat and cereals,” he said.
ERD经济学家观察到，西亚战争的影响一直是本月CPI通胀的关键关注点。
Despite exchange rate fluctuations and external shocks like supply chain disruptions, the imported inflation (weight: 21.84 per cent) has not increased but decelerated slightly to 6.34 per cent in April 2026 as compared to 6.49 per cent in March 2026, they said.
发布于 2026 年 5 月 12 日