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诺贝尔经济学家列出了 MAGA 前进道路上的 3 个主要障碍
当唐纳德·特朗普以微弱优势赢得美国 2024 年总统大选时,许多选民民意调查发现,经济——尤其是对通胀的不满——在他的胜利中发挥了关键作用。在乔·拜登担任总统期间,美国的失业率处于历史低位,但高物价严重损害了他的支持率。前总统乔·拜登的副总统、民主党总统候选人卡马拉·哈里斯未能冲过终点线,以大约 1.5% 的差距输掉了全国普选。 2 月 27 日,自由派经济学家保罗·克鲁格曼在他的 Substack 页面上发表的一篇专栏中描述了威权运动与经济崩溃之间的联系。他认为,从拜登那里继承了总体健康的经济,减缓了特朗普对极右威权主义的推动。“1933年阿道夫·希特勒上台时,”克鲁格曼解释道,“德国经济陷入了水深火热的境地。在德国总理海因里希·布吕宁的领导下,德国政府在面对大萧条时教条地坚持经济正统观念,坚持金本位制并实施更严厉的财政政策。紧缩政策的结果是经济破坏和极高的失业率……1999年弗拉基米尔·普京(Vladimir Putin)上台时,俄罗斯刚刚经历了一场毁灭性的金融危机。”克鲁格曼继续说道,“这场危机引发了严重的衰退,迫使俄罗斯政府拖欠债务,并导致卢布价值暴跌……
来源:Alternet _经济When Donald Trump narrowly won the United States' 2024 presidential election, many polls of voters found that the economy — especially frustration over inflation— played a key role in his victory.在乔·拜登担任总统期间,美国的失业率处于历史低位,但高物价严重损害了他的支持率。前总统乔·拜登的副总统、民主党总统候选人卡马拉·哈里斯未能冲过终点线,以约 1.5% 的全国普选票数落败。
In a column posted on his Substack page on February 27, liberal economist Paul Krugman describes the connection between authoritarian movements and economic meltdowns.他认为,从拜登那里继承了总体健康的经济减缓了特朗普推动极右威权主义的步伐。
"When Adolf Hitler came to power in 1933," Krugman explains, "Germany's economy was in dire straits. Under Chancellor Heinrich Brüning, the German government had clung dogmatically to economic orthodoxy in the face of the Great Depression, staying on the gold standard and imposing ever harsher fiscal austerity. The result was economic devastation and extremely high unemployment.… When Vladimir Putin came to power 1999年,俄罗斯刚刚经历了一场毁灭性的金融危机。”
Krugman continues, "The crisis precipitated a severe recession, forced the Russian government to default on its debt, and led to a plunge in the value of the ruble…. Donald Trump's return to power in January 2025 was largely thanks to public dissatisfaction with the Biden economy. However, there was no economic crisis: unemployment was low, and inflation had declined sharply from its peak in 2022…. And because there was no crisis when he regained the presidency, Trump — his bombastic lies in the State of the Union notwithstanding — hasn't been able to preside over a clear economic improvement. Indeed, his approval on economic issues has plummeted."
