由于需求超过产量,预计 2026-27 年全球食糖短缺

预计欧盟、英国和泰国的食糖产量将大幅下降,低糖价将促使农民转向种植木薯等其他作物

来源:The Hindu Business Line _经济

全球食糖市场

projected to switch from a surplus of ‌2.29 million metric tons

in the 2025/26 season (October-September) ​to a deficit of 0.55

million tons ⁠in 2026/27 as production falls in key regions due

经纪人 StoneX 周二表示,为了降低价格。

该公司在纽约举行的年会上表示

Sugar Week that the ‌El Nino weather anomaly, which is expected

今年晚些时候发展,可能会有适度的强度

India, the world's second-largest sugar producer, and slightlyhurt production there.英国的农作物减产幅度最大再加上欧盟地区,估计该地区的食糖产量下降 12.5% 至 1,530 万吨,而在泰国,通常是key global exporter - where ‌StoneX sees sugar production falling15% 至 1020 万吨。在泰国,最大的因素是价格。 After months of糖价低迷,农民转向种植其他作物,尤其是木薯、StoneX 糖和乙醇头目 RodrigoMartini ‌said.预计 2026/27 年全球食糖产量将下降 1%至 1.937 亿吨,而全球需求估计为增加0.5%至1.943亿吨。投机者正在关注供应情况并已reduced their short position in sugar ‌from more than 265,0002 月中旬的合约数量目前约为 90,000 份合约。Martini said, however, that the recent price rally wasdriven by the Middle ⁠East conflict, with sugar following oil as较高的能源价格提高了巴西乙醇产量并减少了食糖产量production.“市场的看涨程度不足以强劲反弹,而且也没有看跌到足以崩溃,”他说,预计原糖​中期交易区间震荡。发布于 2026 年 5 月 13 日