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由于需求超过产量,预计 2026-27 年全球食糖短缺
预计欧盟、英国和泰国的食糖产量将大幅下降,低糖价将促使农民转向种植木薯等其他作物
来源:The Hindu Business Line _经济全球食糖市场
projected to switch from a surplus of 2.29 million metric tons
in the 2025/26 season (October-September) to a deficit of 0.55
million tons in 2026/27 as production falls in key regions due
经纪人 StoneX 周二表示,为了降低价格。
该公司在纽约举行的年会上表示
Sugar Week that the El Nino weather anomaly, which is expected
今年晚些时候发展,可能会有适度的强度
India, the world's second-largest sugar producer, and slightlyhurt production there.英国的农作物减产幅度最大再加上欧盟地区,估计该地区的食糖产量下降 12.5% 至 1,530 万吨,而在泰国,通常是key global exporter - where StoneX sees sugar production falling15% 至 1020 万吨。在泰国,最大的因素是价格。 After months of糖价低迷,农民转向种植其他作物,尤其是木薯、StoneX 糖和乙醇头目 RodrigoMartini said.预计 2026/27 年全球食糖产量将下降 1%至 1.937 亿吨,而全球需求估计为增加0.5%至1.943亿吨。投机者正在关注供应情况并已reduced their short position in sugar from more than 265,0002 月中旬的合约数量目前约为 90,000 份合约。Martini said, however, that the recent price rally wasdriven by the Middle East conflict, with sugar following oil as较高的能源价格提高了巴西乙醇产量并减少了食糖产量production.“市场的看涨程度不足以强劲反弹,而且也没有看跌到足以崩溃,”他说,预计原糖中期交易区间震荡。发布于 2026 年 5 月 13 日
