第一部分：年度能源和峰值需求 – 历史和预测 ...................................................................................................................... 7 负荷情景摘要 ........................................................................................................................................................................ 11 表 I-1a：NYCA 基线能源和需求预测 ...................................................................................................................................... 13 图 I-1：NYCA 能源预测 – 年度能源，GWh ............................................................................................................................. 14 图 I-2：NYCA 夏季峰值预测 – 同步峰值，MW ............................................................................................................. 14 图 I-3：NYCA 冬季峰值预测 – 同步峰值，MW ............................................................................................................. 15 图 I-4：NYCA 基线峰值预测比较 – 同步峰值，MW ............................................................................................................. 15 表 I-1b：NYCA 基线年度能源预测摘要 – GWh ............................................................................................................. 16 表 I-1c：摘要NYCA 夏季同期峰值需求预测基线 – MW ...................................................................................................... 17 表 I-1d：NYCA 冬季同期峰值需求预测基线 – MW 摘要 ................................................................................................ 18 表 I-2：基线年度能源，历史与预测 ............................................................................................................................................. 19 表 I-3a：夏季同期峰值需求基线，历史与预测 ............................................................................................................................. 20 表 I-3b：冬季同期峰值需求基线，历史与预测 ............................................................................................................................. 21 表 I-4a：夏季非同期峰值需求基线，历史与预测 ............................................................................................................. 22 表 I-4b：冬季非同期峰值需求基线，历史与预测 ............................................................................................................. 23 表 I-5：G-to-J 地区基线峰值需求，历史与预测 ............................................................................................................. 24 表I-6a: 天气原因导致的基线能源第 90 百分位预报..................................................................................................... 25 表 I-6b: 天气原因导致的基线能源第 10 百分位预报........................................................................................................................................................... 26 表 I-7a：由于天气原因，基线夏季同期峰值需求的第 90 百分位预测 ........................................................................ 27 表 I-7b：由于天气原因，基线夏季同期峰值需求的第 10 百分位预测 ........................................................................ 28 表 I-7c：由于天气原因，基线冬季同期峰值需求的第 90 百分位预测 ............................................................................. 29 表 I-7d：由于天气原因，基线冬季同期峰值需求的第 10 百分位预测 ............................................................................. 30 表 I-8a：能源效率以及规范和标准的能源影响 ............................................................................................................. 31 表 I-8b：能源效率以及规范和标准的夏季峰值影响 ............................................................................................................. 33 表 I-9a：太阳能光伏标称容量，电表后 ......................................................................................................................................................... 34 表 I-9b：太阳能光伏年度能源削减量，电表后 ......................................................................................................................................................... 35 表 I-9c：太阳能光伏峰值削减量，电表后 ......................................................................................................................................................... 36 表 I-10a：非太阳能分布式发电标称容量，电表后 ......................................................................................................................................... 37 表 I-10b：非太阳能分布式发电年度能源削减量，电表后 ......................................................................................................................................... 38 表 I-10c：非太阳能分布式发电峰值削减量，电表后 ......................................................................................................................................... 39 表 I-11a：电动汽车年度能源使用量 ......................................................................................................................................................... 40 表 I-11b：电动汽车夏季同期峰值需求........................................................................................................... 41 表 I-11c：电动汽车冬季同期峰值需求 .......................................................................................................................... 42 表 I-12a：能源存储铭牌容量 ............................................................................................................................................. 43 表 I-12b：能源存储能源影响 ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 44 表 I-12c：电表后储能夏季同期峰值削减量 ........................................................................................................................ 45 表 I-12d：电表后储能冬季同期峰值削减量 ........................................................................................................................ 46 表 I-13a：非电动汽车电气化年度能源使用量 ............................................................................................................................................. 47 表 I-13b：非电动汽车电气化夏季同期峰值需求 ............................................................................................................................. 48 表 I-13c：非电动汽车电气化冬季同期峰值需求 ............................................................................................................................. 49 表 I-14：SCR 和 EDRP 注册预测 ............................................................................................................................................. 50 表 I-15：NYCA 系统历史峰值需求 ............................................................................................................................................. 51 表 I-16a：NYCA 低负荷情景年度能源预测 – GWh ............................................................................................................. 52 表 I-16b：NYCA 低负荷情景夏季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW ........................................................................ 53 表 I-16c：NYCA 低负荷情景冬季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW ............................................................................. 54 表 I-17a：NYCA 高负荷情景年度能源预测摘要 – GWh ............................................................................................. 55 表 I-17b：NYCA 高负荷情景夏季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW ............................................................................. 56 表 I-17c：NYCA 高负荷情景冬季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW ............................................................................. 57 表 I-18a：NYCA CLCPA 案例年度能源预测摘要 – GWh ............................................................................................. 58 表I-18b：NYCA CLCPA 案例夏季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW ...................................................................................... 59 表 I-18c：NYCA CLCPA 案例冬季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW ...................................................................................... 60电表后 ................................................................................................................................ 46 表 I-13a：非电动汽车电气化年度能源使用量 ........................................................................................................................................ 47 表 I-13b：非电动汽车电气化夏季同期峰值需求 ........................................................................................................................ 48 表 I-13c：非电动汽车电气化冬季同期峰值需求 ............................................................................................................................. 49 表 I-14：SCR 和 EDRP 注册预测 ............................................................................................................................................. 50 表 I-15：NYCA 系统历史峰值需求 ............................................................................................................................................. 51 表 I-16a：NYCA 低负荷情景年度能源预测摘要 – GWh ............................................................................................................. 52 表 I-16b：NYCA 低负荷情景夏季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW ............................................................................................. 53 表I-16c：NYCA 低负荷情景冬季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW......................................................................................... 54 表 I-17a：NYCA 高负荷情景年度能源预测摘要 – GWh......................................................................................... 55 表 I-17b：NYCA 高负荷情景夏季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW......................................................................................... 56 表 I-17c：NYCA 高负荷情景冬季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW......................................................................................... 57 表 I-18a：NYCA CLCPA 案例年度能源预测摘要 – GWh......................................................................................................... 58 表 I-18b：NYCA CLCPA 案例夏季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW......................................................................................... 59 表 I-18c：NYCA CLCPA 案例冬季同期峰值需求预测摘要 –中波................................................................ 60电表后 ................................................................................................................................ 46 表 I-13a：非电动汽车电气化年度能源使用量 ........................................................................................................................................ 47 表 I-13b：非电动汽车电气化夏季同期峰值需求 ........................................................................................................................ 48 表 I-13c：非电动汽车电气化冬季同期峰值需求 ............................................................................................................................. 49 表 I-14：SCR 和 EDRP 注册预测 ............................................................................................................................................. 50 表 I-15：NYCA 系统历史峰值需求 ............................................................................................................................................. 51 表 I-16a：NYCA 低负荷情景年度能源预测摘要 – GWh ............................................................................................................. 52 表 I-16b：NYCA 低负荷情景夏季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW ............................................................................................. 53 表I-16c：NYCA 低负荷情景冬季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW......................................................................................... 54 表 I-17a：NYCA 高负荷情景年度能源预测摘要 – GWh......................................................................................... 55 表 I-17b：NYCA 高负荷情景夏季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW......................................................................................... 56 表 I-17c：NYCA 高负荷情景冬季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW......................................................................................... 57 表 I-18a：NYCA CLCPA 案例年度能源预测摘要 – GWh......................................................................................................... 58 表 I-18b：NYCA CLCPA 案例夏季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW......................................................................................... 59 表 I-18c：NYCA CLCPA 案例冬季同期峰值需求预测摘要 –中波................................................................ 60................................................................................................................................................ 50 表 I-15：历史 NYCA 系统峰值需求 ................................................................................................................................................ 51 表 I-16a：NYCA 低负荷情景年度能源预测摘要 – GWh ............................................................................................................. 52 表 I-16b：NYCA 低负荷情景夏季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW ............................................................................. 53 表 I-16c：NYCA 低负荷情景冬季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW ............................................................................. 54 表 I-17a：NYCA 高负荷情景年度能源预测摘要 – GWh ............................................................................................................. 55 表 I-17b：NYCA 高负荷情景夏季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW ............................................................................. 56 表 I-17c：NYCA 高负荷情景冬季同期峰值需求预测 – MW ...................................................................................... 57 表 I-18a：NYCA CLCPA 案例年度能源预测摘要 – GWh ........................................................................................................ 58 表 I-18b：NYCA CLCPA 案例夏季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW ........................................................................................ 59 表 I-18c：NYCA CLCPA 案例冬季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW ........................................................................................ 60................................................................................................................................................ 50 表 I-15：历史 NYCA 系统峰值需求 ................................................................................................................................................ 51 表 I-16a：NYCA 低负荷情景年度能源预测摘要 – GWh ............................................................................................................. 52 表 I-16b：NYCA 低负荷情景夏季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW ............................................................................. 53 表 I-16c：NYCA 低负荷情景冬季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW ............................................................................. 54 表 I-17a：NYCA 高负荷情景年度能源预测摘要 – GWh ............................................................................................................. 55 表 I-17b：NYCA 高负荷情景夏季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW ............................................................................. 56 表 I-17c：NYCA 高负荷情景冬季同期峰值需求预测 – MW ...................................................................................... 57 表 I-18a：NYCA CLCPA 案例年度能源预测摘要 – GWh ........................................................................................................ 58 表 I-18b：NYCA CLCPA 案例夏季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW ........................................................................................ 59 表 I-18c：NYCA CLCPA 案例冬季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW ........................................................................................ 60.......... 58 表 I-18b：NYCA CLCPA 案例夏季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW .............................................................................. 59 表 I-18c：NYCA CLCPA 案例冬季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW .............................................................................. 60.......... 58 表 I-18b：NYCA CLCPA 案例夏季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW .............................................................................. 59 表 I-18c：NYCA CLCPA 案例冬季同期峰值需求预测摘要 – MW .............................................................................. 60