newDeaDemocrat | 2025年5月15日，上午8:00 - 新的Demotatfer a Democtafter漫长的数据干旱，今天有许多发行版。我将从失业索赔开始。Initial索赔没有改变，为229,000，而四周移动的平均值则增加了2,250至230,500。随着典型的一周延迟，持续的索赔增长了9,000至18.81亿：在您的％基础上，对于预测目的而言，最重要的是，初始索赔增长了3.2％，四周平均上涨了6.1％，持续的索赔上涨了5.1％：这些Yoy数字与我们过去八个月中所看到的相符。 They imply a relatively weak but expanding economy.Finally, let’s take our first look at what this might imply for the unemployment rate in the next several months:There is no upward pressure from either initial or continuing jobless claims, implying the unemployment rate will stay in the 4.1%-4.2% range.The Bonddad BlogNew jobless claims well-behaved, but continuing claims trend higher, Angry Bear by New Deal democrat