期货幻灯片,油,黄金和美元尖峰,但没有恐慌移动

期货幻灯片,石油,黄金和美元尖峰,但没有预期的恐慌,期货在风险偏离风险的情况下开放,以石油,黄金,美元,美元和其他避风港撕裂,但几乎没有任何恐慌感,但由于投资者与伊朗保持镇定,迄今为止尚未表现出对本周末的US攻击的迹象。 While emini S&P futures opened about 60 points, or 1% lower, at 6pm ET, they have since trimmed the loss in half, and at last check were back to just shy of 6,000, and about 2% below all time highs.A similar kneejerk reaction was observed in oil which surged in early Monday trading, with some trading models indicated WTI contracts would open around $79/bbl - which it did - but then quickly retraced gains by half,上涨3至76美元……......假设霍尔木兹海峡的多个型号的赔率为35%,这也远低于隐含价格(假设50美元的石油公允价值的公允价值,而最坏的情况为120美元,并且在完全关闭的情况下,则与80.80.brent的差额相比,差额为9次,差额为9. $ 120。向后桶,周五1.53美元。这是一种看涨的模式,表明对紧密的及时用品的担忧。转向FX,瑞士法郎是唯一一种在早期行动中对美元持有自己的美元的主要货币,而日元正是在美国(Do not Blun lake lake nover)世界中的新“安全飞行”的路上

来源:Zero Hedge

正如预期的那样,在风险降低风险的情况下,Futures开业,石油,黄金,美元和其他避风港撕裂,但几乎没有任何恐慌感,因为迄今为止,投资者对伊朗保持镇定,尚无对本周末美国袭击的报复迹象。

尽管EMINI S&P期货在美国东部时间下午6点下午6点左右打出约60分或下午1%,但此后,他们将损失减少了一半,最后检查又回到了6,000次,低于6,000,低于历史最高高点。

在周一早些时候贸易中飙升的石油中也观察到类似的膝盖反应,一些交易模型表明WTI合同将在79美元/bbl左右开放 - 但随后很快将收益降低了一半,上升了3至76美元...

...假设Hormuz闭合海峡的多个赔率准确地占35%(假设油的公允价值为60美元,而最坏的情况为120美元,则应在全面关闭时,石油应在80美元左右交易。

假设海峡的多个赔率

Brent的及时差价,其两份最近的合同之间观看的紧密差异,从周五的1.53美元起,落后的1.99美元。那是看涨的模式,表明对紧密及时供应的关注。

Turning to FX, the Swiss franc is the only major currency which is holding its own against the US dollar in early action, with the yen - which supposedly was on its way to becoming a new "flight to safety" in the (don't laugh) world where the US was no longer exceptional, tumbling and reminding everyone that Japan with its mingblowing 400% in consolidated debt/GDP is the biggest basket case of all, and the yen will be trading at 1000 first在回到100之前(这是在Boj拔出Maduro并从货币中脱落的许多零之后)。

至于菲亚特替代方案,我们再次看到镜子反应,金色尖峰并越来越高到所有时间高...

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