IMF在关税贸易冲击中警告全球经济风险 -

在唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)的贸易沃多纳德·特朗普(Wardonald Trump)在英国的企业,经济和金融市场上的覆盖范围“对全球经济的风险保持坚定的态度”,而且从外观上看,他一直在与一个对石油行业感兴趣的人交谈。钻探者”和“英国有一笔巨大的财富,人民的能源成本要低得多”。继续阅读... Despite reduced tensions and EU trade deal, US policies are ‘highly uncertain’, says Washington-based organisationGlobal growth will be stronger than previously expected this year after Donald Trump scaled back his most extreme tariff threats, the International Monetary Fund said as it upgraded the economic outlook for 2025.The Washington-based organisation said a “de-escalation in tariffs” by the White House had spurred a recovery in global trade and a尽管美国政策仍然是“高度不确定的”,并且“坚定地处于不利之处”,但更广泛的经济扩张。继续阅读...

来源:The Guardian _经济学
结束摘要:美国寻求“升级主导地位”,尽管关税损害了经济,国际货币基金组织(IMF)很明显,美国对大多数贸易伙伴的关税将对全球增长有害。 One of the key questions is how the harms will be spread.Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, the IMF’s chief economist, said the tariffs will reduce activity and gradually it will also translate into higher prices in the US – even as he revealed a slightly higher growth forecast than expected.Philip Luck, director of the economics programme at the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies, said that the US has essentially aimed to convince other nations that it can take more pain - 对他们进行重大报复。他说:避免报复的成功可能是源于“升级优势”的可信信号,这实际上说服了伙伴,对他们来说,与美国的经济报复循环相比,进入经济报复循环的成本更高,而在欧盟中,欧盟的不满情绪也更多 - 如果其他国家面临“世界面临“世界选票” 15%的征收”,这可能会尤其困难。这将与欧盟同意大肆宣传的水平相同。路透社报道:德国经济部长凯瑟琳娜·赖希(Katherina Reiche)周二表示,欧盟目前正在与美国从虚弱的立场与美国进行谈判,并强调需要改变进程。欧盟的交易意味着避免了30–50%关税的最坏情况。虽然商定的关税仍然比4月份平均值仅1.2%到17.5%的平均水平急剧增加,但尽管成本较高,公司现在可以保持更高的信心计划。但是,从长远来看,关税的大幅上升将实质上增加