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书评“Undoing Project”

Book Review “The Undoing Project”

作者:David Zetland 独臂经济学家迈克尔·刘易斯(Michael Lewis)于 2016 年写了这本书,讲述了阿莫斯·特沃斯基(AT)和丹尼尔·卡尼曼(DK)之间的“智力爱情故事”,这两位以色列心理学家颠覆了我们对风险、决策和我们看待世界的方式的看法。我说的“我们”不仅指人类,还指(在某种程度上)经济学家。AT […] 文章《书评“Undoing Project”首次出现在 Angry Bear 上。

Medicare:国家承保范围的确定通常是及时的,但需要改进

Medicare: National Coverage Determinations Are Generally Timely, but Improvements Are Needed

为什么这至关重要的是Medicare& Medicaid Services(CMS)对6800万Medicare受益人的医疗项目和服务进行授予,限制或排除保险范围。 CMS遵循基于证据的过程,以确定项目是否合理且对于预防,诊断或治疗疾病或其他状况。 CMS审查请求并确定分析以进行覆盖范围确定。从2012年10月到2025年2月,CMS符合了9或12个月的指定时间范围,其中83%(44个53)的分析确定了。我们发现该机构在不符合指定的时间范围时系统地确定了延迟的原因。 Doing so would allow CMS to better monitor its performance a

Graham威胁关税,挪威对IDF的抵制,Caterpillar

Graham Threatens Tariffs, Travel Sanctions On Norway Over Boycott Of IDF, Caterpillar

Graham威胁要关税,挪威对IDF的抵制,Caterpillasenator Lindsey Graham在过去的24小时内两次爆炸和威胁到挪威两次,在斯堪的纳维亚国家2美元的2万美元财富基金之后,这很大程度上是从伊斯兰国而来的伊斯兰教徒,这很大程度上是依靠伊斯兰国而来的。 human rights in Gaza and against Palestinians.Norway's wealth fund held a 1.17% stake in the Texas-headquartered company, which was valued at $2.1 billion as of

NewsFlash:政府撒谎

Newsflash: Governments Lie

NewsFlash:罗恩·保罗(Ron Paul)通过罗恩·保罗和平与繁荣研究所主持的政府,劳工统计局负责人埃里卡·麦肯塔尔(Erika McEntarfer)博士是特朗普总统告诉“您被解雇”的最新人物。特朗普总统本月表示,他解雇了米肯特博士,因为总统认为她操纵了工作数据。他说,操纵包括5月和6月的BLS数字,显示美国经济创造的就业机会比最初报告的工作少258,000,而且比预期的7月份就业报告较弱。总统建议,所有这些旨在使特朗普总统看起来很糟糕。跟随McEntarfer博士的解雇,许多评论者担心特朗普总统的行动将使政府失业和通货膨胀数据被操纵以产生总统所需的数字。对政府统计数据的信心丧失可能

Media Psyop“模仿鸟”仍针对美国人:Gabbard

Media PSYOP 'Operation Mockingbird' Still Targeting Americans: Gabbard

Media PSYOP 'Operation Mockingbird' Still Targeting Americans: GabbardVia JonFleetwood.com,The CIA’s infamous Cold War propaganda and psychological operation (PSYOP) program never died—it just turned inward...The question isn’t whether the government is manipulating Americans, but how they’re doing

阅读PLA战术车辆标记和单位编号系统

Reading The PLA Tactical Vehicle Markings And Unit Numbering System

Recently, there was a news report about the PLA jumping into S&R effects for the Beijing major flood (link), which made me think of doing a blog post on understanding the PLA tactical marking placed on the side of their vehicles.In the following photos, the PLA with Tactical Vehicle Marking of unit

“ f*ck!”:吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer

"What The F*ck!": Jim Cramer Snaps On Live TV As Rate-Cut Frustration Boils Over

“什么f*ck!”:吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)在现场电视上抢购,因为大多数零零的对冲读者已经知道,对美联储的决定保持利率的决定一直存在争议特朗普(Trump)已公开指责鲍威尔(Powell)“发挥政治”,并以关税引起的通货膨胀为借口延迟降级。这场辩论今天上午在CNBC上散布在主流中,小组成员们谈论了国内的增长和费率,导致挫败感与吉姆·克雷默(Jim Cramer)显然洒了出来。 “我们最大的问题是我们的成长太多,以至于美联储不会削减……F*ck ...”克莱默在直播电视上说,在向观众道歉之前。“耶稣基督,”有人听到有人对评论的反应,因为亵渎的传染性。 It's just our sp

特朗普以前总统的审判

Trump Threatens Brazil With 50 Percent Tariff Citing Trial Of Former President

特朗普以50%的关税威胁巴西,援引雅各布·伯格(Jacob Burg)的前总统审判(强调我们的审判),其中一批唐纳德·特朗普总统于7月9日向几个美国贸易伙伴发出的信件,是向巴西签发的一项,威胁要向巴西施加了50%的竞争对手,以使其出口到美国。 2025年5月28日,在巴西圣塔卡塔里纳州的伊塔加伊(Itajaí)。在热带地区中,博尔森纳(Bolsonaro)目前正在审判中,该指控涉及涉嫌推翻巴西2022年选举结果的阴谋。 Prosecutors allege that Bolsonaro and several associates were attempting a coup d’état,

美国Transpo秘书支持航空航天上的零关税,但不保证变更

US Transpo Secretary supports zero tariffs on aerospace, but change isn’t assured

Subscription Required By Scott Hamilton July 7, 2025, © Leeham News: US Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy wants to return to aerospace’s zero-tariff agreement, dating to 1979, but cautioned that doing so requires a larger trade agreement between party... Read MoreThe post US Transpo Secretary supp

前财政部官员在严厉的op-Ed

Former Treasury officials slam MAGA's path to fiscal destruction in scathing op-ed

前财政部秘书罗伯特·鲁宾(Robert E. Rubin)和劳伦斯·H·萨默斯(Lawrence H. “We paired policies that reduced the deficit with others that stimulated investment. That set off a virtuous economic cycle of growth, deficit reduction, lower interest rates and thus more investment and growth. Fiscal responsibility helped contain

[AI Show第155集]:新作业AI将创建,亚马逊首席执行官:AI将削减工作,您的大脑在Chatgpt上,可能的OpenAi-Microsoft Breakup&veo 3 IP问题

[The AI Show Episode 155]: The New Jobs AI Will Create, Amazon CEO: AI Will Cut Jobs, Your Brain on ChatGPT, Possible OpenAI-Microsoft Breakup & Veo 3 IP Issues

AI is rewriting the org chart—just ask Amazon’s CEO.This week, Paul and Mike unpack the New York Times’ list of 22 upcoming roles that AI will create (from “AI auditors” to “personality directors”), weigh Andy Jassy’s memo that generative AI will mean leaner teams, and dissect the viral MIT study ab

英格兰,威尔士和NI的校长说,发送供应危机正在恶化

Maths isn’t dull – it’s playful, beautiful and empowering | Letters

Maths teacher Olivia Mariner says negative media portrayals add an unnecessary hurdle to the subjectI was sorry to read that Hannah J Davies had such an uninspiring experience of maths lessons at school that she chose GCSE maths as a benchmark for the dullness of David Tennant’s new ITV programme (G

特朗普的关税杀死了经济民粹主义?

US stock markets rally as White House says there is ‘great optimism’ in the economy – as it happened

此博客现已关闭。 You can read our latest full report and explainer here:Trump insists tariff war is ‘doing really well’ as recession fears mountWhat are bonds and why have they spooked Donald Trump?The US dollar slumped on Friday as waning confidence in the US economy prompted investors to ditch US assets t

澳大利亚财政声明 - 中等财政收缩中的失业率上升

Australian fiscal statement – rising unemployment amidst a moderate fiscal contraction

Last night (March 25, 2025), the Australian government delivered the latest fiscal statement for 2025-26 (aka – The Budget – and, in doing so tried to win renewed electoral appeal given its waning popularity and a national election that has to be held in the next 6 or so weeks. So it offered the tax

#461 - PREPRIMEAGEN:编程,AI,ADHD,生产力,成瘾和上帝

#461 – ThePrimeagen: Programming, AI, ADHD, Productivity, Addiction, and God

ThePrimeagen (aka Michael Paulson) is a programmer who has educated, entertained, and inspired millions of people to build software and have fun doing it.Thank you for listening ❤ Check out our sponsors: https://lexfridman.com/sponsors/ep461-scSee below for timestamps, and to give feedback, submit q

反马加律师事务所保证4000万美元以避免安全许可暂停

Anti-MAGA Law Firm Pledges $40M To Pro-Trump Causes To Avoid Security Clearance Suspensions

Anti-MAGA Law Firm Pledges $40M To Pro-Trump Causes To Avoid Security Clearance SuspensionsAuthored by Katabella Roberts via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),President Donald Trump is withdrawing an executive order targeting New York-based law firm Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison (Paul Weiss

Rogue Soros资助的非政府组织对特斯拉的多城市攻击,随着家庭恐怖主义升级

Rogue Soros-Funded NGO Plots Multi-City Assault On Tesla As Domestic Terrorism Escalates

Rogue Soros-Funded NGO Plots Multi-City Assault On Tesla As Domestic Terrorism EscalatesWhile the FBI investigates far-left terrorist attacks against Tesla service centers, showrooms, Supercharging networks, and vehicles, the radical Soros-funded non-profit Indivisible is preparing to launch a multi

'业务已被忽视':长期的特斯拉投资者要求埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)辞去首席执行官

'Business has been neglected': Longtime Tesla investor demands Elon Musk resign as CEO

罗斯·格伯(Ross Gerber)是特斯拉电动汽车公司最早的投资者之一 - 现在呼吁南非伯爵夫人埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)辞去首席执行官的角色,对他在Sky News上发表了讲话,他清楚地表明,他认为Musk对Tesla对Tesla对Tesla造成了巨大的伤害,他对Tesla的品牌造成了唐纳德(Donald Parlistic)的举止,并在唐纳德(Donald Parlight Parkerication)领导了唐纳德(Donald Parlight Privation)的唐纳德(Donald Parlist),并在唐纳德(Donald Parlight Privation)的范围内