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使用大型人工智能模型改进全球天气和海浪预报
摘要 特别是近年来人工智能技术的飞速发展，催生了若干大参数人工智能天气预报模型。这些模型代表了重大突破，克服了传统数值天气预报模型的局限性，并预示着大气-海洋预报的巨大潜在工具的出现。本研究探讨了这些先进的人工智能预报模型的演变，并根据发现的共同点，提出了大型天气预报模型的“三大规则”：参数数量多、预测对象数量多、潜在应用范围大。我们讨论了人工智能彻底改变数值天气预报的能力，简要概述了天气预报显着改进的根本原因。在承认大型人工智能预报模型高精度、计算效率高、易于部署的同时，我们也强调传统数值预报不可替代的价值，并探讨了大型人工智能大气-海洋预报模型未来发展面临的挑战。我们认为，大气-海洋天气预报的最佳未来在于实现人工智能与传统数值模型的无缝集成。预计这种综合将为改进大气-海洋预报提供更先进、更可靠的方法。最后，我们通过构建全球海浪预报的人工智能模型，通过一个例子来说明预报员如何利用大型天气预报模型。
MAKS AAF 天气飞行任务执行预报 (MEF)
时间 14-15Z 15-16Z 16-17Z 17-18Z 18-19Z 19-20Z 20-21Z 21-22Z 22-2Z 时间 14-15Z 15-16Z 16-17Z 17-18Z 18-19Z 19-20Z 20-21Z 21-22Z 22-2Z RRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR TS/CIG/VISTS TS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS TS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS RRRRRRRRRRRRRRR TS/CIG/VISTS
MAKS AAF 天气飞行任务执行预报 (MEF)
时间 14-15Z 15-16Z 16-17Z 17-18Z 18-19Z 19-20Z 20-21Z 21-22Z 22-2Z 时间 14-15Z 15-16Z 16-17Z 17-18Z 18-19Z 19-20Z 20-21Z 21-22Z 22-2Z RRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR TS/CIG/VISTS TS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS TS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS RRRRRRRRRRRRRRR TS/CIG/VISTS
约翰逊堡 jrtc 6天预报
7 天前 — DP：72F/22C。DP：72F/22C。DP：57F/14C DP：70F/21C。DP：54F/12C。DP：54F/12C。DP：55F/13C。DP：55F/13C。DP：54F/12C DP：64F/18C。DP：52F/11C DP：54F/12C。
MAKS AAF 天气飞行任务执行预报 (MEF)
时间 20-21Z 21-22Z 22-23Z 23-24Z 24-1Z 1-2Z 2-3Z 3-4Z 4-8Z 时间 20-21Z 21-22Z 22-23Z 23-24Z 24-1Z 1-2Z 2-3Z 3-4Z 4-8Z RRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS TS/CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS TS/CIG/VIS GGGGGGGGRGGGGGGGGRN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A TS/CIG/VIS N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A TS/CIG/VIS GGGGGGGGRGGGGGGGGRN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A TS/CIG/VIS N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A TS/CIG/VIS
MAKS AAF 天气飞行任务执行预报 (MEF)
时间 14-15Z 15-16Z 16-17Z 17-18Z 18-19Z 19-20Z 20-21Z 21-22Z 22-2Z 时间 14-15Z 15-16Z 16-17Z 17-18Z 18-19Z 19-20Z 20-21Z 21-22Z 22-2Z RRYYYYYYYRRYYYYYYY CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG CIG CIG CIG TS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG CIG CIG TS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VIS RRYYYYYYRRYYYYYY CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG CIG CIG CIG TS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG CIG CIG CIG TS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VIS RRYYYYYYRRRYYRRYYR CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG CIG CIG TS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG CIG CIG TS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG CIG CIG TS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VISTS/CIG/VIS
MAKS AAF 天气飞行任务执行预报 (MEF)
时间 8-9Z 9-10Z 10-11Z 11-12Z 12-13Z 13-14Z 14-15Z 15-16Z 16-20Z 时间 8-9Z 9-10Z 10-11Z 11-12Z 12-13Z 13-14Z 14-15Z 15-16Z 16-20Z RRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRY CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS YRRRRRYGGYRRRRRYGG CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS N/AN/A CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS CIG/VIS N/AN/A
MAKS AAF 天气飞行任务执行预报 (MEF)
TIME 20-21Z 21-22Z 22-23Z 23-24Z 24-1Z 1-2Z 2-3Z 3-4Z 4-8Z TIME 20-21Z 21-22Z 22-23Z 23-24Z 24-1Z 1-2Z 2-3Z 3-4Z 4-8Z YYGGGGGYRYYYGGGGGYR CIG CIG N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A CIG CIG/VIS CIG CIG N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A CIG CIG/VIS YGGGGGGGYRYGGGGGGYR CIG N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A CIG CIG/VIS CIG N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A CIG CIG/VIS GGGGGGGGYGGGGGGGYGYN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A CIG N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A CIG
MAKS AAF 天气飞行任务执行预报 (MEF)
时间 20-21Z 21-22Z 22-23Z 23-24Z 24-1Z 1-2Z 2-3Z 3-4Z 4-8Z 时间 20-21Z 21-22Z 22-23Z 23-24Z 24-1Z 1-2Z 2-3Z 3-4Z 4-8Z YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY Y TSTM TSTM TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TSTM TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TS YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY TSTM TSTM TS/CIG TS/CIG CIG YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY TSTM TSTM TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TSTM TSTM TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG TS/CIG CIG
maks aaf/ft johnson 路易斯安那州 6 天预报
2024 年 11 月 6 日 — 73F/23C。DP：72F/22C。DP：72F/22C。DP：68F/20C。DP：70F/21C DP：70F/21C。DP：72F/22C。DP：70F/21C。DP：72F/22C DP：64F/18C。DP：72F/22C。RH：100%。