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*我要感谢我的顾问Paolo Surico，JoãoCocco，Elias Papaioannou，Lucrezia Reichlin和HélèneRey的宝贵指导和支持。For helpful comments and sug- gestions, I thank Asger Andersen, Michele Andreolli, Juan Antolin-Diaz, Christiane Baumeis- ter, Jean-Pierre Benoît, Florin Bilbiie, James Cloyne, Martin Ellison, Luis Fonseca, Luca Fornaro, Jordi Galí, Garth Heutel, Yueran Ma, Joseba Martinez, Matthias Meier, Silvia Miranda-Agrippino, Tsvetelina Nenova, Luca Neri, Gert Peersman, Michele Piffer, Richard Portes, Sebastian Rast, Vania Stavrakeva, Nadia Zhuravleva, Nathan Zorzi as well as participants at the EEA-ESEM con- ference, the Young Economist Symposium, the IAAE conference, the牛津·纳克普（Oxford Nucamp）博士店，IAEE会议，Ghent经验宏的研讨会，QCGBF会议，QMUL经济学和金融研讨会以及LBS Brownbag研讨会。我感谢Mario Arsoza友好地分享了他们的最终政策冲击系列。我还要感谢IAEE的最佳学生纸奖。最后，我非常感谢伦敦商学院的惠勒商业与发展研究所慷慨地支持这项研究。†联系人：伦敦公园，伦敦公园，伦敦NW1 4SA，英国。电子邮件：dkaenzig@london.edu。 Web：DieGokaenzig.com。电子邮件：dkaenzig@london.edu。Web：DieGokaenzig.com。Web：DieGokaenzig.com。
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