机构名称：
¥ 1.0
pers。Consumption Expenditures 2.1 -2.5 8.8 3.0 2.5 2.6 2.4 Government Expenditures 3.9 3.4 -0.3 -1.1 3.9 3.2 1.6 Private Investment 3.2 -4.5 8.8 6.0 0.1 4.0 2.7 Exports 0.5 -13.1 6.5 7.5 2.8 3.0 2.3 Imports 1.2 -9.0 14.7 8.6 -1.2 5.0 3.5 Total Real GDP 2.5 -2.2 6.1 2.5 2.9 2.5 2.0 CPI (1982-1984=100), % Change Annualized 1.8 1.2 4.7 8.0 4.1 2.7 2.3 Core CPI (1982-1984 = 100), % Change Annualized 2.2 1.7 3.6 6.2 4.8 3.2 2.6 PCE Price Index (2017=100), % Changed Annualized 1.4 1.1 4.2 6.5 3.8 2.3 2.1 Core PCE Price Index (2017=100), % Change Annualized 1.7 1.3 3.6 5.2 4.1 2.6 2.6原油WTI，（$/桶）$ 57 $ 39 $ 39 $ 68 $ 95 $ 95 $ 78 $ 76 $ 76 $ 74有效的联邦资金率，％（平均）2.16 0.37 0.08 1.68 1.68 5.02 5.02 5.02 5.10 3.94 3.94 10-yr。国库率，％（平均）1.92 0.92 1.51 3.88 3.88 4.30 4.75 30-yr。Fixed Rate Mortgage, % 3.86 2.87 3.27 6.66 6.99 6.72 7.20 Industrial Production (YoY%) -0.7 -7.0 4.9 3.4 0.2 0.2 1.5 Payroll Jobs, Average Monthly Difference, Thousands 163 -774 606 399 225 180 130 Unemployment Rate, Annual Average 3.7 8.1 5.4 3.6 3.6 4.1 4.3 DXY Dollar Index 96.4 89.9 95.7 103.5 101.3 104.2 110.0 *预测历史数据来源：美联储，BLS，BEA和彭博
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