DC Housing Market Sees Continued Surge In Listings As DOGE-Recession Looms
DC住房市场认为，北部北部弗吉尼亚州北部的最新住房市场快照在列表中持续激增，马里兰州的最新住房市场快照表明，积极的上市持续激增，因为在国会大厦周围有与Doge相关的经济衰退的风险。 Bright MLS是一项涵盖中大西洋地区的多个上市服务，直到3月9日发布了新的每周数据，显示积极的清单正在堆积，总计31,597，比一年前的同一周相比为20.2％。整个星期一的MLS服务区域的积极清单在MLS服务区域的每周活跃列表增加了3.3％，远远超过了过去三年，并且最近几周开始急剧上升。这一增长可能是由于春季销售季节的开始以及对潜在的教科与衰退的关注所在。该地区在很大程度上依赖联邦行政国家 - 直到总督和特朗
2025年前8个月雇用的25-54岁儿童的平均值为80.575％。在2024年中，为80.717％。数据来自美国劳工统计局。下表显示了一年前8个月何时比上一年低的案例何时低于上一年。今年有20例，其中14例至少与衰退案件重叠至少没有重叠的案例。为了了解桌子的工作原理，第一行是1948年。当年雇用的25-54岁年轻人中的百分比为62.98％，1949年的前8个月为62.26，因此较低。从1948年11月到1949年10月，经济衰退与1949年的前8个月重叠。第一个红色案例是1971年的前8个月（68.99的前8个月（68.99）小于1970年全部的69.61）。经济衰退于1970年11月结束，因
▼研究人员的眼睛☆从财务风险分析的角度探索已生成的AI - 为什么需要进行人类事实检查？ ☆投资者在日本股市的交易趋势：2025年7月的分析-----▼每周经济学信☆经济前景☆经济前景2025和2026年（2025年8月）☆QE新闻：4月至6月2025年4月至6月的GDP上一季度的增长量为0.3％（每年1.0％）的增长 - 持续增长 - 持续增长 - 持续增长 - 建立了量的增长 - - 建立量 - 建立了 - - 量的增长 - 建立了 - - 量的增长 - - 建立量 - - 量表 - 建立量 - 量表 - - 量的增长量 - 建立了量 - - 量表 - 建立量
Initial and continuing claims continue to trend in opposite directions
- 新政的民主党人显然是今天早上的PPI编号是当天最重要的报告。我想稍后再解决，但首先让我们更新失业者的索赔情况。最初的索赔数量持续，因为它们降低了-3,000至224,000。四周移动平均线增加了750，达到221,750。 But continuing claims continued elevated, down -15,000 to 1.953 million, still close to its 3.5+ year high:On the YoY% basis more important for forecasting, initial claims were down -1.8
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Why goods-producing employment is not flashing a danger signal for an economic downturn
- 通过新的交易，民主党本周对新经济数据的干旱，让我们继续查看上周五就业报告中的一些重要信息。在每份报告中，我首先要查看数据中包含的主要指标，从而分解我的分析。这几乎完全局限于生产商品部门，尤其是制造和建设。那是因为货物部门比服务业更波动。 The former almost always turns down before the onset of a recession, while the latter in many cases sails right through.Specifically, let me show you the last 40+ years of the abs
Comments on June Employment Report
6月份就业报告中的标题工作编号超出了预期，四月和5月的薪水被合并为16,000。参与率降低，就业人口比率不变，失业率降低到4.1％。注意：据报道，据报道，6月（季节性调整后），州和地方政府的教育雇用率为63.5万。在未经季节性调整（NSA）的基础上，失去了542.4万个教育工作。每年六月发生这种情况。但是，今年的就业机会少于预期的，从而获得大量SA的收益。 It is possible this is just a timing issue and more than expected educators will be let go in July.Earlier: June Employm
A look at the goods producing sector
- 在就业报告后的一周内，由新的Democtatas按新的Democratas进行，直到周三的CPI报告才有新数据。因此，让我们进一步了解周五报告中的一些信息，以及上周的其他几份报告，这些信息是在货物生产和销售行业中。现在不那么少了，但是生产商品的工作通常仍然是第一个削弱的。在周五的报告中，生产就业机会下降了。 In the past year, only 39,000 such jobs have been added (blue, right scale below) in the entire economy, or only a 0.2% gain (red, left scale):
US Leading Economic Indicators Tumble Most In Over 2 Years
US Leading Economic Indicators Tumble Most In Over 2 YearsSince December's Trump-optimism-driven surge in Leading Economic Indicators (the first since last February), The Conference Board's headline index has decelerated rapidly with April data released today plunging 1.0% MoM - the biggest drop sin
'Fundamental competence': Economy brings Trump’s 'political risks into focus' — here's how
The U.S. Commerce Department delivered some bad economic news on Wednesday, April 30: the United States' gross domestic product (GDP) contracted by 0.3 percent during the first three months of 2025.This was the first GDP report released during Donald Trump's second presidency, and it comes at a time
'Layoffs' and 'reduction of hours': LA port chief expects '35 percent' drop in shipping volume
Economists and businessowners are warning that President Donald Trump's steep new tariffs could not only lead to inflation, a recession, lower GDP, and a weakening of the U.S. dollar — they could also disrupt supply chains, causing empty shelves on retail shelves.According to MSNBC's Ana Cabrera, th
4月28日星期一，加拿大的联邦大选在很大程度上成为了美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）陡峭的新关税的全民投票，并呼吁加拿大成为美国的一部分。自由党的成员马克·卡尼（Mark Carney）在一个积极的反特朗普平台上奔跑并赢得了胜利 - 击败了保守党领袖皮埃尔·波利夫（Pierre Poilievre）。尽管Poilievre试图使自己与特朗普主义保持距离，但卡尼被认为是两者中更反特朗普。卡尼在胜利演讲中宣布：“特朗普总统正试图打破我们，以使美国能够拥有我们。这将永远不会发生。” READ MORE: Nastiness 'doesn't travel well': Trump
UK economy faces growth shock from Trump tariffs, says Bank governor
Andrew Bailey says UK not close to recession but he would be ‘encouraged’ if trade deal with US were agreed The Bank of England’s governor, Andrew Bailey, has said the UK economy faces a “growth shock” as a result of Donald Trump’s trade policies.Speaking on the sidelines of the International Moneta
US stock markets rally as White House says there is ‘great optimism’ in the economy – as it happened
此博客现已关闭。 You can read our latest full report and explainer here:Trump insists tariff war is ‘doing really well’ as recession fears mountWhat are bonds and why have they spooked Donald Trump?The US dollar slumped on Friday as waning confidence in the US economy prompted investors to ditch US assets t
'Get over it': Wall Street kingpin brutally mocked for flip flop on key Trump policy
在1月22日在CNBC举行的一次亮相中，摩根大通首席执行官杰米·戴蒙（Jamie Dimon）认为，关税可以用作“经济工具”，并告诉唐纳德·特朗普总统的关税提议“胜过”批评者“胜过”。 With the stock market plummeting, Dimon told investors, "Whether or not the menu of tariffs causes a recession remains in question, but it will slow down growth."READ MORE: FDR's grandson issues new warning
'Not gonna happen!' Analysis exposes 'idiotic' fallacy of Trump’s tariff tax scheme
唐纳德·特朗普总统承认，他的急剧新关税将在美国带来一些经济痛苦，但他坚持认为，短期不适感会随之而来的是重大繁荣时期，并且在美国制造业中的复兴。特朗普也声称，由于削减了美国富裕的美国人的税收损失，关税的钱将取代任何联邦收入。 And he is describing Wednesday, April 2 — the day his new tariffs are scheduled to take effect — as "Liberation Day."But The New Republic's Timonthy Noah, in a biting article published on
Shares slide after President Donald Trump says new reciprocal tariffs expected this week will include all nations, and Goldman Sachs say US recession more likelyWall Street shrinks in response to price pressures, stoking fears of Trump tariffsSwiss bank UBS has cut its forecast for the US stock mark
'Even the rich are worried': Experts warn of 'scariest' signs amid 'stagflation' fears
警告信号在一周内闪烁着红色，令人不安的经济新闻显然变得严峻。 Consumers should brace for a surge in terms like “inflation,” “stagflation,” “Trumpflation,” and “recession” dominating the headlines.Reports are now showing consumer confidence has plummeted to its lowest level in 12 years, the markets are currently tanking, analysts
