Business Cycle Indicators: The Slowdown Cometh?
个人收入,五月的消费,今天发布。工业生产,NFP概念中的平民就业。 SPGMI的每月GDP以及4月份的制造业和贸易行业销售量下降了……合理地询问这是否表明所有内容。首先,遵循NBER商业周期约会委员会(BCDC)的指标。 […]
Slowdown? Business Cycle Indicator Data as of Mid-June
With SPGMI’s monthly GDP, we have the following picture of series the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee focuses on: Figure 1: Nonfarm Payroll incl benchmark revision employment from CES (bold blue), civilian employment using smoothed population controls (orange), industrial production (red), pers