(a)ccyb:freq。危机↓达75%(前ANTE),通过“ CCYB释放”政策(c)CCYB防止2008年的危机(但随后的经济衰退)(d)在均衡中不需要干预措施,可能会降低危机的严重性(b)危机严重程度(c)的严重程度。
本说明概述了爱尔兰在近期 COVID-19 发展背景下发布逆周期资本缓冲 (CCyB) 的理由。COVID-19 疫情带来了异常冲击,引发了金融稳定的潜在挑战。积极使用宏观审慎政策,特别是发布 CCyB,可使银行系统吸收这种冲击的影响。这样做可以限制银行系统放大冲击的范围,从而损害实体经济,从而促进银行在未来充满挑战的时期保持对经济的可持续信贷供应。我们讨论了这一特定政策响应如何适应中央银行的 CCyB 框架,如何与其他审慎政策措施相互作用,以及它提供的资本救济规模和潜在的额外信贷供应能力。
在经济从疫情低迷中迅速复苏之后,俄罗斯入侵乌克兰导致全球增长预期下降,通胀压力加剧。自上次评估以来,在货币政策正常化时期开始之际,全球金融状况大幅收紧。此前,在“追求收益”的环境下,资产估值和全球债务长期上升,增加了金融状况急剧收紧的潜在脆弱性。在国内,价格压力加上劳动力市场紧张,表明某些行业(包括房地产市场)出现了周期性压力。银行业盈利能力已经恢复,而新增贷款量继续从疫情低点回升。鉴于自疫情冲击以来风险环境的演变,央行正在通过将逆周期资本缓冲 (CCyB) 提高到 0.5% 来逐步重建宏观审慎资本缓冲。
AEs Advanced economies AUROC Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve CAB Current account balance CAR Capital adequacy ratio CBU Central Bank of Uzbekistan CCoB Capital conservation buffer CCyB Countercyclical capital buffer CoVaR Conditional value at risk DSR Debt service ratio ELA Emergency liquidity assistance EMs Emerging markets EWI Early warning indicator FDIC US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation FED US Federal Reserve System FGDCB Fund for guaranteeing deposits of citizens in banks FSI Financial stress index GARCH Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity GDP Gross domestic product GSADF Generalized supremum augmented Dickey-Fuller HHI Herfindahl-Hirschman index HLA Highly liquid assets HP Hodrick-Prescott IMF International Monetary Fund JSC Joint-stock company LCR Liquidity coverage ratio LTV Loan-to-value MSCI Morgan Stanley Capital International NGFS Network of Central Banks and Supervisors for Greening the Financial System NSFR Net stable funding rate ratio OLS Ordinary least squares PTI Payment-to-income ROA Return on assets ROC Receiver operating characteristic curve ROE Return on equity RWA Risk-weighted assets SIB Systemically important banks SSM State-space model SyRB Systemic risk buffer UCI乌兹别克斯坦综合索引USD美国美元UZS UZBEK SOUM VAR AF PRIGAT AS IAM AS IAG