L.A.经历了“炎热的劳动夏季”,其罢工水平高于前几年。有些工人面对高通货膨胀,没有其他选择来实现更好的工作条件或更高的工资。其他人,例如醒目的好莱坞作家,都担心工作被AI和机器人技术取代的潜力。AI语言模型Chatgpt的发布和受欢迎程度一直是讨论的热门话题。在学术界,我们听到了一系列回答,从对学生使用Chatgpt来通过教授写论文的担忧,要求学生使用该工具来支持他们的项目。在更广泛的工作场所中,许多高技能的专业人员现在使用Chatgpt节省了他们在更平凡的写作任务上的时间。这些工具将显然会改变我们的工作场所,尽管现在还为时过早,无法在多大程度上通过技术变化来提高效率和生产率,从而使我们地区受益了数十年。我们的业务和教育系统很重要。
2015 8,952 4.0 20 7 13.4 $405 $41 $92 $12 $53,971 8.7 $174 1.4 2016 8,795 4.0 -136 3 13.6 $408 $42 $94 $11 $54,109 7.9 $196 2.3 2017 8,691 4.0 -91 2 13.5 $407 $40 $89 $10 $53,032 8.2 $174 3.0 2018 8,755 3.9 73 7 13.5 $416 $37 $78 $10 $51,842 7.7 $174 3.7 2019年 8,709 3.9 -31 8 13.8 $453 $39 $83 $10 $55,127 7.3 $194 2.9 2020 8,703 3.9 19 5 13.8 $462 $54 $111 $10 $55,287 8.9 $215 1.8 2021 8,592 3.9 -55 8 14.3 $493 $53 $112 $11 $57,344 7.1 $222 4.2 2022 8,559 3.9 3 10 14.7 $527 $58 $111 $12 $57,345 4.6 $233 7.3 2023 8,523 3.9 -3 9 15.1 $548 $59 $114 $12 $57,840 5.2 $243 3.5 2024 8,489 3.9 0 7 15.4 $563 $60 $116 $11 $58,354 5.8 $251 2.3 2025 8,449 3.9 -5 7 15.7 $585 $60 $119 $11 $59,578 6.0 $257 2.3 2026 8,418 3.9 4 7 16.0 $606 $61 $121 $11 $60,544 6.0 $262 2.3 2027 8,375 3.9 -9 7 16.2 $626 $61 $123 $11 $61,592 6.3 $266 2.2 2028 8,327 3.9 -14 7 16.5 $648 $61 $125 $11 $62,663 6.5 $269 2.2 2029 8,280 3.9 -14 7 16.7 $670 $63 $128 $11 $63,744 6.7 $272 2.3 2030 8,230 3.9 -18 7 16.9 $690 $64 $131 $11 $64,644 6.8 $275 2.2 2031 8,206 3.9 6 7 17.1 $712 $65 $134 $11 $65,478 6.9 277 美元 2.1 2032 8,186 3.9 8 7 17.2 $734 $66 $136 $11 $66,126 7.1 $279 2.3 2033 8,152 3.9 -10 7 17.4 $755 $67 $139 $11 $67,087 7.2 $280 1.9 2034 8,112 3.9 -18 7 17.6 $778 $68 $142 $11 $68,018 7.3 $282 2.1 2035 8,061 3.9 -31 7 17.7 $801 $70 $145 $10 $68,989 7.3 $283 2.2 2036 8,034 3.9 -9 7 17.8 $827 $71 $148 $11 $69,636 7.3 $284 2.6 2037 8,018 3.9 2 7 17.9 $854 $73 $152 $11 $70,121 7.3 $285 2.7 2038 8,010 3.9 11 7 18.1 $881 $75 $156 $11 $70,641 7.3 $286 2.5 2039 7,979 4.0 -12 7 18.2 $907 $76 $160 $11 $71,132 7.3 $287 2.7 2040 7,945 4.0 -16 7 18.3 935 美元$78 $164 $10 $71,738 7.3 $288 2.6 2041 7,932 4.0 5 7 18.3 $964 $79 $167 $11 $72,484 7.3 $289 2.2 2042 7,920 4.0 4 7 18.4 $993 $81 $171 $11 $73,250 7.3 $289 2.1 2043 7,901 4.0 -3 7 18.5 $1,022 $82 $174 $11 $74,081 7.3 $290 2.0 2044 7,884 4.0 -2 7 18.6 $1,051 $83 $177 $11 $75,017 7.3 $290 1.8 2045 7,859 4.0 -10 7 18.6 $1,081 $84 $180 $10 $75,965 7.3 $291 1.9 2046 7,849 4.0 4 7 18.7 $1,113 $86 $184 $11 $76,776 7.3 $291 2.0 2047 7,838 4.0 2 7 18.8 $1,146 $87 $187 $11 $77,429 7.3 $292 2.2 2048 7,839 4.0 12 7 18.8 $1,180 $89 $192 $11 $77,967 7.3 $292 2.3 2049 7,837 4.0 9 7 18.8 $1,215 $90 $195 $11 $78,684 7.3 $293 2.0 2050 7,837 4.0 10 7 18.9 $1,251 $92 $199 $11 $79,355 7.3 $293 2.1
2015 44,655 19.5 -7 70 65 $1.8 $384 $590 $188 $48,932 9.4 $350 1.4 2016 44,554 19.5 41 50 67 $1.9 $388 $578 $213 $49,510 8.6 $327 2.3 2017 44,390 19.6 17 54 66 $1.9 $413 $593 $230 $49,610 7.3 $314 3.0 2018 44,305 19.7 36 44 65 $2.0 $421 $565 $209 $49,493 6.8 $347 3.7 2019 44,193 19.7 25 41 66 $2.1 $432 $593 $213 $50,191 6.6 $385 2.9 2020 44,091 19.7 98 9 66 $2.1 $498 $716 $220 $50,749 10.1 $391 1.8 2021 43,790 19.7 11 6 67 $2.4 $585 $838 $244 $54,506 8.1 $398 4.2 2022 43,632 19.7 66 75 66 $2.5 $555 $846 $242 $52,948 5.4 395 美元 7.3 2023 43,444 19.8 51 68 67 $2.6 $575 $852 $242 $53,677 5.7 $395 3.5 2024 43,289 19.8 92 85 68 $2.7 $590 $864 $246 $54,336 5.9 $395 2.3 2025 43,129 19.8 94 58 67 $2.8 $600 $877 $251 $55,338 6.0 $394 2.3 2026 42,905 19.9 37 36 67 $2.9 $608 $889 $254 $56,181 6.1 392 美元 2.3 2027 42,670 19.9 38 23 67 $3.0 $614 $899 $254 $57,032 6.3 $388 2.2 2028 42,426 19.9 32 24 67 $3.0 $622 $911 $255 $57,884 6.3 $384 2.2 2029 42,217 20.0 69 23 67 $3.1 $635 $927 $256 $58,425 6.3 $384 2.3 2030 41,981 20.0 42 22 67 $3.2 $649 $945 $257 $59,003 6.3 385 美元 2.2 2031 41,758 20.0 58 21 66 $3.3 $661 $963 $258 $59,540 6.4 $386 2.1 2032 41,541 20.0 65 20 66 $3.4 $675 $983 $258 $59,942 6.3 $384 2.3 2033 41,316 20.0 58 20 66 $3.5 $687 $1,000 $260 $60,548 6.3 $385 1.9 2034 41,085 20.0 48 19 66 $3.5 $700 $1,019 $261 $61,100 6.2 $383 2.1 2035 40,823 20.1 16 18 66 $3.6 $715 $1,041 $262 $61,608 6.2 $385 2.2 2036 40,535 20.1 -9 17 65 $3.7 $733 $1,067 $262 $61,953 6.1 $384 2.6 2037 40,225 20.1 -35 16 65 $3.8 $751 $1,094 $262 $62,199 6.0 $384 2.7 2038 39,954 20.1 1 15 65 $3.9 $768 $1,119 $262 $62,546 5.7 $383 2.5 2039 39,727 20.1 40 14 65 $4.0 $788 $1,148 $262 $62,787 5.4 $384 2.7 2040 39,516 20.1 53 14 64 $4.1 $807 $1,175 $262 $63,033 5.1 $383 2.6 2041 39,345 20.1 82 13 64 $4.2 $823 $1,199 $262 $63,428 5.0 $382 2.2 2042 39,156 20.1 54 12 64 $4.3 $839 $1,222 $264 $63,876 4.9 $384 2.1 2043 38,973 20.1 51 11 64 $4.4 $855 $1,245 $265 $64,385 4.9 $382 2.0 2044 38,757 20.2 12 11 64 $4.5 $868 $1,265 $267 $64,971 5.0 $383 1.8 2045 38,578 20.2 45 10 64 $4.6 $884 $1,288 $268 $65,525 5.1 $382 1.9 2046 38,410 20.2 52 9 63 4.7 美元 901 美元$1,312 $269 $65,998 5.2 $383 2.0 2047 38,244 20.2 44 8 63 $4.8 $919 $1,339 $270 $66,354 5.3 $382 2.2 2048 38,079 20.2 37 7 63 $4.9 $939 $1,368 $271 $66,658 5.5 $383 2.3 2049 37,907 20.2 21 7 63 $5.0 $957 $1,394 $272 $67,110 5.8 $382 2.0 2050 37,767 20.2 43 6 63 5.1 美元$977 $1,422 $273 $67,518 6.1 $383 2.1
- 印第安纳州的就业增长在2024年保持稳定,这是由于劳动力扩张和持续需求而推动的。- 在接下来的几年中,净薪资收益将放缓,但是随着一些行业的增长,撤退并提高了生产力,工作组合将会改变。- 对印第安纳州的影响减少的影响,潜在驱逐出境将相对较低,但可能会影响某些行业和职业。•进出口的更高关税会影响主要行业,例如制药和农业。
2015 100,456 41.9 281 223 130 $5.4 $0.9 $1.3 $366 $68,681 5.5 $25 1.4 2016 100,919 42.1 639 256 134 $5.7 $0.9 $1.3 $389 $70,016 4.8 $26 2.3 2017 101,384 42.2 726 406 131 $5.7 $1.0 $1.4 $403 $68,861 4.1 $29 3.0 2018 101,920 42.3 825 534 132 $5.9 $1.0 $1.4 $399 $67,415 3.5 $30 3.7 2019 102,298 42.5 613 423 135 $6.3 $1.1 $1.5 $360 $69,625 3.4 $27 2.9 2020 102,392 42.8 358 466 133 $6.7 $1.2 $1.7 $343 $73,281 8.2 $22 1.8 2021 102,033 42.2 87 401 134 $7.1 $1.3 $1.9 $365 $75,118 5.7 $23 4.2 2022 100,788 42.4 -851 427 130 $7.2 $1.4 $2.0 $360 $71,686 3.4 $19 7.4 2023 100,703 43.0 291 313 131 $7.6 $1.4 $2.0 $359 $72,386 3.9 $26 3.8 2024 100,932 43.3 637 452 131 $8.0 $1.5 $2.1 $360 $73,725 4.1 $28 2.2 2025 101,140 43.6 656 514 132 $8.4 $1.6 $2.2 $361 $75,232 4.0 $28 2.3 2026 101,295 44.0 640 505 132 $8.7 $1.7 $2.4 $361 $76,528 3.9 $29 2.2 2027 101,354 44.5 583 459 132 $9.1 $1.8 $2.5 $363 $77,876 4.0 $29 2.2 2028 101,341 44.8 544 385 132 $9.4 $1.9 $2.7 $364 $79,111 4.1 $29 2.1 2029 101,300 45.1 541 374 132 $9.7 $2.0 $2.8 $367 $80,132 4.1 $30 2.2 2030 101,204 45.4 513 360 132 $10.0 $2.1 $3.0 $371 $80,927 3.9 $30 2.2 2031 101,080 45.7 504 352 131 $10.3 $2.1 $3.1 $371 $81,675 3.9 $30 2.3 2032 100,940 46.0 505 349 131 $10.6 $2.2 $3.2 $372 $81,946 3.7 $30 2.3 2033 100,777 46.3 501 345 131 $10.8 $2.3 $3.3 $372 $82,499 3.7 $30 2.4 2034 100,598 46.6 497 341 131 $11.1 $2.4 $3.4 $372 $83,083 3.8 $30 2.4 2035 100,412 46.9 494 338 130 $11.4 $2.4 $3.5 $372 $83,592 3.9 $31 2.5 2036 100,207 47.1 470 329 130 $11.7 $2.5 $3.6 $372 $83,744 3.9 $31 2.5 2037 99,997 47.4 468 325 130 $12.0 $2.6 $3.7 $372 $83,835 4.0 $31 2.6 2038 99,788 47.7 467 323 129 $12.3 $2.6 $3.8 $372 $84,125 4.1 $31 2.6 2039 99,573 47.9 454 317 129 $12.6 $2.7 $3.9 $372 $84,127 4.0 $31 2.7 2040 99,363 48.2 453 314 129 $13.0 $2.7 $4.0 $372 $84,362 4.1 $31 2.7 2041 99,153 48.4 441 308 128 13.3 美元$2.8 $4.0 $373 $84,810 4.1 $31 2.8 2042 98,956 48.7 444 307 128 $13.6 $2.9 $4.2 $373 $85,361 4.0 $31 2.8 2043 98,754 48.9 432 301 128 $14.0 $2.9 $4.3 $373 $85,972 4.0 $31 2.9 2044 98,558 49.2 423 297 127 $14.3 $3.0 $4.4 $373 $86,694 4.0 $31 2.9 2045 98,376 49.4 411 291 127 $14.7 $3.1 $4.5 $373 $87,339 4.0 $31 3.0 2046 98,207 49.6 406 288 127 $15.0 $3.2 $4.7 $373 $87,868 4.0 $31 3.1 2047 98,060 49.9 405 285 126 $15.4 $3.3 $4.8 $373 $88,241 4.0 $31 3.1 2048 97,940 50.1 404 283 126 $15.8 $3.4 $5.0 $373 $88,521 4.0 $32 3.2 2049 97,842 50.3 401 280 126 $16.2 $3.5 $5.1 $373 $88,968 4.0 $32 3.2 2050 97,761 50.6 397 277 126 $16.6 $3.7 $5.3 $373 $89,373 4.0 $32 3.3
• 该预测假设学生贷款宽限期将延长至 12 月。它尚未包括拜登总统免除约三分之一学生债务的计划,该计划正面临政治反对和法律挑战。然而,我们的分析是,这种债务减免对预测的影响相对较小。
2015 136,348 56.4 465 155 153 $5.8 $1.5 $2.0 $479 $50,760 5.6 $278 1.4 2016 137,346 56.4 784 179 156 $6.1 $1.6 $2.2 $468 $51,367 5.0 $298 2.3 2017 137,492 56.5 108 228 154 $6.3 $1.6 $2.2 $468 $51,500 4.3 $301 3.0 2018 137,493 56.6 -3 258 152 $6.5 $1.5 $2.0 $458 $51,268 3.6 $299 3.7 2019 136,740 56.8 -822 481 154 $6.7 $1.5 $2.1 $477 $52,225 3.7 $305 2.9 2020 136,514 56.9 -171 317 154 $6.8 $1.7 $2.2 $487 $51,693 8.7 $335 1.8 2021 135,467 57.3 -813 367 156 $7.0 $1.9 $2.6 $492 $51,907 6.3 $354 4.2 2022 135,058 57.7 -269 359 156 7.5 美元 2.0 美元$2.7 $510 $51,873 3.6 $370 7.3 2023 134,885 58.1 0 359 157 $7.9 $2.1 $2.8 $518 $52,598 3.4 $391 3.5 2024 134,953 58.4 289 360 157 $8.2 $2.2 $2.9 $523 $53,275 3.8 $412 2.3 2025 134,928 58.7 266 356 157 $8.5 $2.2 $2.9 $529 $54,126 4.0 $415 2.3 2026 134,749 59.1 159 332 158 $8.8 $2.3 $3.0 $532 $55,038 4.1 $426 2.3 2027 134,504 59.4 151 321 158 $9.1 $2.3 $3.1 $532 $55,974 4.2 $437 2.2 2028 134,138 59.7 89 298 158 $9.5 $2.4 $3.2 $533 $56,864 4.3 $443 2.2 2029 133,758 59.9 113 289 158 $9.8 $2.4 $3.2 $534 $57,503 4.3 $448 2.3 2030年 133,350 60.2 116 279 159 $10.1 $2.5 $3.3 $535 $58,191 4.3 $460 2.2 2031 132,905 60.5 116 264 159 $10.4 $2.6 $3.4 $536 $58,897 4.3 $465 2.1 2032 132,416 60.7 117 252 159 $10.7 $2.6 $3.5 $537 $59,480 4.1 $469 2.3 2033 131,885 60.9 119 242 159 $11.0 $2.7 $3.6 $537 $60,292 4.1 $477 1.9 2034 131,313 61.1 120 234 160 $11.3 $2.7 $3.7 $538 $61,016 4.0 $481 2.1 2035 130,699 61.4 122 224 160 $11.6 $2.8 $3.7 $537 $61,700 3.8 $483 2.2 2036 130,082 61.6 125 221 160 $12.0 $2.9 $3.9 $537 $62,172 3.7 $486 2.6 2037 129,469 61.8 129 217 160 12.3 美元 3.0 美元$4.0 $536 $62,596 3.6 $488 2.7 2038 128,880 62.0 134 223 160 $12.7 $3.0 $4.1 $536 $63,126 3.5 $492 2.5 2039 128,323 62.2 137 223 160 $13.0 $3.1 $4.2 $536 $63,532 3.5 $495 2.7 2040 127,785 62.4 141 222 160 $13.4 $3.2 $4.3 $536 $63,954 3.5 $499 2.6 2041 127,292 62.6 145 222 160 $13.8 $3.3 $4.4 $535 $64,543 3.5 $502 2.2 2042 126,842 62.8 148 221 160 $14.1 $3.4 $4.5 $535 $65,157 3.5 $503 2.1 2043 126,417 63.0 152 216 160 $14.5 $3.4 $4.6 $534 $65,800 3.4 $506 2.0 2044 126,011 63.2 146 206 160 $14.9 $3.5 $4.7 $534 $66,527 3.4 $509 1.8 2045 125,640 63.4 149 201 160 $15.3 $3.6 $4.8 $534 $67,173 3.4 $512 1.9 2046 125,289 63.6 152 196 160 $15.7 $3.6 $4.9 $534 $67,735 3.3 $514 2.0 2047 124,953 63.7 144 196 160 $16.1 $3.7 $5.0 $534 $68,159 3.3 $517 2.2 2048 124,632 63.9 147 196 160 $16.5 $3.8 $5.1 $534 $68,513 3.3 $521 2.3 2049 124,311 64.1 140 195 160 $16.9 $3.9 $5.3 $535 $69,028 3.3 $523 2.0 2050 123,967 64.3 143 195 160 $17.3 $4.0 $5.4 $535 $69,485 3.3 $526 2.1
2015 148,525 42.5 -1,525 515 110 $5.1 $1.0 $1.7 $0.9 $41,238 10.6 $2.4 1.4 2016 147,615 42.9 -2,374 519 113 $5.3 $1.1 $1.7 $0.9 $41,550 10.0 $2.3 2.3 2017 148,933 43.5 -158 329 114 $5.5 $1.2 $1.7 $1.0 $41,517 9.0 $2.3 3.0 2018 151,040 43.9 747 347 115 $5.6 $1.2 $1.7 $1.0 $40,427 7.9 $2.6 3.7 2019 151,691 44.3 -692 430 119 $6.0 $1.3 $1.8 $1.0 $42,177 8.0 $2.3 2.9 2020 153,085 44.7 131 257 121 $6.1 $1.5 $2.1 $1.0 $41,830 11.9 $2.3 1.8 2021 153,617 44.9 -504 465 123 $6.6 $1.7 $2.5 $1.0 $43,281 9.6 $2.2 4.2 2022 154,578 45.1 -100 444 124 $7.1 $1.7 $2.5 $1.0 $42,752 6.7 $2.3 7.3 2023 155,977 45.6 212 432 125 $7.4 $1.8 $2.6 $1.0 $42,777 6.9 $2.4 3.5 2024 157,680 46.0 280 438 127 $7.8 $1.8 $2.6 $1.0 $43,284 7.3 $2.4 2.3 2025 159,349 46.4 267 460 128 $8.1 $1.9 $2.7 $1.1 $43,777 7.4 $2.4 2.3 2026年160,935 46.9 188 467 129 $8.5 $1.9 $2.7 $1.1 $44,307 7.5 $2.4 2.3 2027 162,529 47.3 207 468 131 $8.9 $1.9 $2.8 $1.1 $44,935 7.5 $2.5 2.2 2028 164,204 47.8 306 457 132 $9.3 $2.0 $2.8 $1.2 $45,406 7.6 $2.5 2.2 2029 165,843 48.3 285 449 134 $9.6 $2.0 $2.9 $1.2 $45,636 7.6 $2.5 2.3 2030 167,358 48.7 183 446 135 $10.0 $2.1 $3.0 $1.2 $45,907 7.6 $2.5 2.2 2031 168,845 49.1 173 442 137 $10.3 $2.1 $3.1 $1.2 $46,187 7.6 $2.6 2.1 2032 170,200 49.6 64 435 138 $10.7 $2.2 $3.1 $1.2 $46,353 7.6 $2.6 2.3 2033 171,521 50.0 67 430 140 11.1 美元$2.2 $3.2 $1.2 $46,738 7.6 $2.6 1.9 2034 172,919 50.4 171 423 141 $11.5 $2.3 $3.3 $1.3 $47,028 7.6 $2.6 2.1 2035 174,393 50.8 268 417 143 $11.9 $2.3 $3.4 $1.3 $47,254 7.6 $2.6 2.2 2036 175,831 51.2 264 416 144 $12.3 $2.4 $3.5 $1.3 $47,328 7.6 $2.6 2.6 2037 177,267 51.6 281 414 145 $12.8 $2.5 $3.6 $1.3 $47,371 7.6 $2.6 2.7 2038 178,693 52.1 288 411 147 $13.2 $2.6 $3.7 $1.3 $47,510 7.6 $2.6 2.5 2039 180,104 52.5 296 409 148 $13.7 $2.6 $3.8 $1.3 $47,570 7.6 $2.7 2.7 2040 181,491 52.9 301 405 149 $14.2 $2.7 $3.9 $1.3 $47,647 7.6 $2.7 2.6 2041 182,868 53.3 304 401 150 $14.7 $2.8 $4.0 $1.3 $47,864 7.6 $2.7 2.2 2042 184,121 53.7 207 396 151 $15.2 $2.8 $4.1 $1.3 $48,120 7.6 $2.7 2.1 2043 185,351 54.0 206 392 152 $15.7 $2.9 $4.2 $1.4 $48,405 7.6 $2.7 2.0 2044 186,671 54.4 318 387 153 16.2 美元 3.0 美元$4.2 $1.4 $48,731 7.6 $2.7 1.8 2045 187,980 54.8 327 382 155 $16.7 $3.0 $4.3 $1.4 $48,992 7.6 $2.7 1.9 2046 189,284 55.2 333 381 156 $17.2 $3.1 $4.4 $1.4 $49,185 7.6 $2.7 2.0 2047 190,578 55.6 341 380 157 $17.7 $3.2 $4.5 $1.4 $49,272 7.6 $2.7 2.2 2048 191,856 55.9 350 377 158 $18.3 $3.2 $4.7 $1.4 $49,318 7.6 $2.7 2.3 2049 193,127 56.3 357 373 159 $18.8 $3.3 $4.8 $1.4 $49,485 7.6 $2.7 2.0 2050 194,358 56.7 360 372 159 $19.4 $3.4 $4.9 $1.4 $49,615 7.6 $2.7 2.1
在经历了 2020 年为期两个月的非典型衰退之后,美国经济预计将在近两年的经济增长后继续扩张。IHS Markit 预计,从疫情到地方疫情的过渡、供应中断和劳动力短缺问题的解决以及宽松的金融条件将支持 2022 年及以后的增长。全国预测显示,美国 2022 年实际 GDP 增长率为 3.7%,2023 年为 2.7%。2021 年实际 GDP 增长 5.7%,全年比衰退前的水平高出 3.6%。2021 年个人收入和消费分别增长 7.3% 和 12.1%。然而,通胀上升占了增长的近一半。经通胀调整后,2021 年实际个人收入和消费分别增长 3.3% 和 7.9%。劳动力市场仍然非常紧张,离职率创历史新高。与此同时,美国仍需新增近 300 万个就业岗位才能达到疫情前的就业水平。美国经济分析局 (BEA) 最新发布的州个人收入估计显示,威斯康星州 2021 年第三季度个人收入增长 2.7%,而全国增长 2.6%,五大湖地区增长 2.1%。2021 年第三季度个人收入增长的主要驱动力是包括工资在内的个人收入,而个人转移收入是一大拖累。