US tariff delay deepens trade uncertainty, warns top UN economist
A leading UN trade official warned on Tuesday that the United States’ decision to delay the end of a tariff suspension by a few weeks risks prolonging global uncertainty and undermining long-term investments and commercial contracts.Read the full story, “US tariff delay deepens trade uncertainty, wa
Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news, as economists predict that Wednesday’s sell-off has strengthened Reeves’s positionNo 10 defends chancellor after day of bitter recriminations over welfare bill fiascoYesterday: UK bond yields rise sharply amid speculation over future of Rac
今天，特朗普总统发表了一份纽约市敦促鲍威尔主席降低利率。下面的图像由科纳·森（Conor Sen）提供，显示了全球中央银行的利率。特朗普先生写道：杰罗姆，你和往常一样，“为时已晚”。您已经花了很多钱 - 并继续这样做 - 您应该将费用降低很多！损失了数百十亿美元！没有通货膨胀。特朗普还写道，“应该在这里”，并参考了0.25％至1.75％的利率。当前美联储的资金利率在4.25％至4.5％之间。美联储主席鲍威尔（Powell）可能对当前“适度”限制的利率可能是正确的，但是我们现在可能是中立的。首先，有一定的通货膨胀。目前的PCE通货膨胀率在5月份为2.7％，高于4月的2.5％。在过去的3个月中
Schedule for Week of June 22, 2025
本周的关键报告可能是新的和现有的房屋销售，第1季度GDP的第三次估计，5月的个人收入和支出以及四月的案件案件 - 案件 - 票房房屋价格指数。对于制造业，六月里士满和堪萨斯城美联储制造监视将被发布。FED的主席Powell在国会销售的半年度政策报告中，国会销售：6月10日，星期一 - 00-AM-AMS-SORTIN-BOND-SORTIS-AMSISSENT-AM-SORTIN-AM-SORTIN-AMSINGESS-AM-STROMENTING-AM-AM-AM-AMD-AMD-AMD AMD AMD。房地产经纪人（NAR）。 The consensus is for 3.95 mill
Does it — really — take a model to beat a model?
When we provide such a critique, we often hear another mantra to which many economists subscribe: ‘It takes a model to beat a model.’ On the contrary, we believe that it takes facts and observations to beat a model … If a model fails to answer the problem to which it is addressed, it should […]
'Hard to build a stable economy': Jobs report reflects 'uncertainty' from 'tariff threats'
美国劳工统计局（BLS）于6月6日星期五发布了2025年5月的就业报告，这一消息大多是好的。 5月在美国，失业率仍为4.2％，创造了139,000个新的非农业新工资工作。该报告是在美国的经济不确定性时期出现的，在美国的经济不确定性时期，左派和右边的经济学家都担心唐纳德·特朗普总统的陡峭新关税将迅速产生。贾里德·伯恩斯坦（Jared Bernstein）是预算和政策重点中心的高级研究员，美国经济顾问委员会前主席对MSNBC的Ana Cabrera表示：“乔布斯相当稳定地来了，有点高于期望。但是伯恩斯坦认为这是一个坏主意，认为降低利率是美联储在经济新闻不好时使用的工具，而不是当大部分是积极的时候。
Today is the 302nd Anniversary of the Birth of Adam Smith
单击此处阅读亚当·史密斯的简历。这是经济学家戴维·R·亨德森（David R. Henderson）的。这本书包括与他的两本著名书籍的完整版本的链接：1759年。道德情感理论。由D. D. Raphael和A. L. Macfie编辑。牛津：克拉伦登出版社；纽约：牛津大学出版社，1976年。在线访问：http：//www.econlib.org/library/smith/smms.html1776。对国家财富的性质和原因的调查。由埃德温·坎南（Edwin Cannan）编辑。芝加哥：芝加哥大学出版社，1976年。在线访问：http：//www.econlib.org/library/smit
Busted: Early morning Trump boast undercut by damning report hours later
一个50岁的政府间组织与38个成员国被掩盖了唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）总统今天上午“蓬勃发展”的美国经济的主张。Trump吹嘘“由于关税，我们的经济蓬勃发展！”的真理社会社交活动。星期二早些时候。 Within a few hours of that post, however, the Paris-based Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) released a forecast predicting global economic growth will slow to 2.9 per
'Complete disregard for debt': Market analyst busts White House’s fiscal responsibility claims
Many economists were hoping that President Donald Trump would back down from the more severe tariffs he was threatening to impose on the United States' trading partners, but on Friday, May 23, Trump floated a 50 percent tariff on goods imported from countries in the European Union (EU) and a 25 perc
▼The Eye of Researchers ☆ "Quiet Resignation" and the Rise of "Snail Girls" - Breaking away from hustle culture and new ways of working - ☆Comprehensive measures against the rice riots of Reiwa - To eliminate the rise in rice prices - ☆About complex numbers (part 1) - What are imaginary and complex
NY Fed Q1 Report: Change in Household Debt Balances Mixed; Student Loan Delinquencies Rise Sharply
来自纽约美联储：家庭债务平衡的变化混合；学生贷款犯罪急剧上升纽约的微观经济数据中心今天发布了有关家庭债务和信贷的季度报告。该报告显示，在2025年第1季度，家庭债务的总债务增加了1670亿美元（0.9％），达到18.20万亿美元。该报告基于纽约美联储全国代表性消费者信贷小组的数据。 It includes a one-page summary of key takeaways and their supporting data points.The New York Fed also issued an accompanying Liberty Street Economics blog po
▼研究人员的眼睛☆攻击依赖性 - 2025年4月投资信托趋势的分布的利弊 - 为什么韩国政治家为什么不担心“悲剧”的最高权力？ ☆投资者在日本股票市场的交易趋势：2025年4月的分析☆指定谷歌和其他人根据情报法的指定 - 响应删除侵犯社交媒体权利的帖子的请求☆投资部门的趋势（2023年4月） - 商业公司在海外投资者和个人销售媒体上的销售 - 供应 - 供应 - 在智能法上销售的信息 - ----▼Weekly Economist Letter ☆ US labor market is spurring slowdown - The current is still strong, but
Scarborough torches GOP lawmakers for failing to 'protect the economy' from Trump
MSNBC's Joe Scarborough, a former GOP congressman and outspoken Never Trump conservative, often makes a point that President Donald Trump's allies hate to hear coming from the right: Trump, Scarborough argues, inherited a solid economy from former President Joe Biden — and is now putting it in dange
'Fundamental competence': Economy brings Trump’s 'political risks into focus' — here's how
The U.S. Commerce Department delivered some bad economic news on Wednesday, April 30: the United States' gross domestic product (GDP) contracted by 0.3 percent during the first three months of 2025.This was the first GDP report released during Donald Trump's second presidency, and it comes at a time
'Layoffs' and 'reduction of hours': LA port chief expects '35 percent' drop in shipping volume
Economists and businessowners are warning that President Donald Trump's steep new tariffs could not only lead to inflation, a recession, lower GDP, and a weakening of the U.S. dollar — they could also disrupt supply chains, causing empty shelves on retail shelves.According to MSNBC's Ana Cabrera, th
4月28日星期一，加拿大的联邦大选在很大程度上成为了美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）陡峭的新关税的全民投票，并呼吁加拿大成为美国的一部分。自由党的成员马克·卡尼（Mark Carney）在一个积极的反特朗普平台上奔跑并赢得了胜利 - 击败了保守党领袖皮埃尔·波利夫（Pierre Poilievre）。尽管Poilievre试图使自己与特朗普主义保持距离，但卡尼被认为是两者中更反特朗普。卡尼在胜利演讲中宣布：“特朗普总统正试图打破我们，以使美国能够拥有我们。这将永远不会发生。” READ MORE: Nastiness 'doesn't travel well': Trump
Gloomy business surveys for UK, Europe and US show tariffs starting to take their toll but stocks, dollar rally on hopes of US-China trade dealUK annual borrowing exceeds forecasts by almost £15bnThe collapse in confidence and drop in output during April raise red flags for the economic outlook and
Long-term effects of Trump's tariffs will be negative, says IMF – video
全球金融机构国际货币基金组织表示，特朗普关税对全球经济的长期影响将是负面的。 Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, the IMF's chief economist, also said the organisation revised down growth for the UK partly due to the tariffs but also domestic factors in the UK economyIMF warns Trump tariffs are putting global financial system under strainIMF warn
