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彼得·纳瓦罗(Peter Navarro):经过聪明的埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)并拥有唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)

Peter Navarro: the economist who has outsmarted Elon Musk and has the ear of Donald Trump

US president’s chief trade adviser is intellectual driving force behind global tariffs and trade war with ChinaElon Musk called him “dumber than a sack of bricks” but, in the raw contest for political power, Peter Navarro has outsmarted the billionaire.The tumult in global trade shows that for now i

克里斯·里德尔(Chris Riddell

Trump’s tariff battle with China has ‘echoes of the Vietnam war’, US economist says

Adam Posen, former Bank of England policymaker, compared the tactics to Johnson and Nixon refusing to back downA leading US economist has likened Donald Trump’s tariff battle with China to the Vietnam war, arguing that both sides will be caught in a quagmire and unable to find a face-saving exit.Ada

亚洲国家受到战争和灾难的影响,面临一些最陡峭的特朗普关税

Asian countries riven by war and disaster face some of steepest Trump tariffs

Myanmar, Cambodia and Laos hit with rates over 40% as experts say the real target is ChinaAnalysis: Trump’s ‘idiotic’ and flawed tariff calculations stun economistsDeveloping nations in south-east Asia, including wartorn and earthquake-hit Myanmar, and several African nations are among the trading p

与海洋相关的经济

The Ocean-Related Economy

A new OECD report on “The Ocean Economy to 2050” begins its “Executive Summary” in this way: The ocean covers 71% of Earth’s surface, comprises 90% of the biosphere, provides food security for over three billion people, enables the transportation of over 80% of global goods, and hosts sea cables car

有关联邦劳动力的快照

Snapshots about the Federal Workforce

I saw some mention that there has been a sharp rise in federal civilian employment in 2023 and 2024. When I tracked down the numbers at the FRED website run by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, it looked like this: Just to be clear, this is civilian employees only, and doesn’t count the … Conti

酒店:入住率降低1.4%同比

CoreLogic: 1.1 million Homeowners with Negative Equity in Q4 2024

Corelogic:CoreLogic:借款人在2024年Corelogic®上获得了超过280B美元的房屋净值...今天发布了2024年第四个季度的房主股权报告(她)。借款人股权增长了2819亿美元,或一年1.7%。该报告表明,有抵押贷款的美国房主(约占所有财产的61%)在第4季度2023和第4季度2024年间,房屋净值增加了约4,100美元,比第322023季度的6,000美元的收益少于6,000美元。最大的损失是在夏威夷($ -28,700),佛罗里达州($ -18,100)和哥伦比亚特区($ -14,700)。季度以上是季度的抵押贷款住宅总数,负股权的总股票总数增加了9.3%至1100

“王牌”上升的风险

Risk of ‘Trumpcession’ rising, economists say, as global markets fall

Donald Trump’s brinkmanship and stop-start approach to tariffs rattle investorsBusiness live – latest updatesThe risk that the US economy will enter recession this year is rising, according to economists, as Donald Trump’s chaotic approach to tariffs continued to hit markets.Shares on Wall Street fe

'不是晴雨表:《华尔街的理论》,“未绑定的特朗普”警告他不关心市场'

'Not the barometer': Wall Street 'theory' on 'unbound Trump' warns he’s not 'concerned about markets'

axios政治记者汉斯·尼科尔斯(Hans Nichols)周日详细介绍了经济学家和华尔街投资者之间的理论,想知道“晴雨表”对唐纳德·特朗普总统的经济政策是什么 - 考虑到总统在第二次政府中不必担心连任。 claimed he’s “not looking at the markets."“I think anyone who has watched Donald Trump for a long time knows that not true,” Zeleny said.READ MORE: 'Also compromised': Retired 4-star general warns

这是特朗普的关税每年的平均家庭费用:分析

Here's how much Trump tariffs will cost the average US family per year: analysis

随着美国总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)的新关税在周二生效时,国会议员唐·贝耶(Don Beyer)发布了一份联合经济委员会报告,表明该政策可能使美国平均工人阶级家庭每年至少1,600美元。 "The trade war Trump is igniting will weaken our economy and cause chaos in our marketplace as Americans pay the cost in the form of higher prices on everyday items."Dean Baker, co-founder and seni

“经济放缓,尤其是经济衰退”可能很快就会遵循特朗普的关税:经济学家

'Slowing economy and especially a recession' could soon follow Trump’s tariffs: economist

面对国会两侧的镇压和谨慎,唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)总统的关税提出了历史所预见的挑战。正如乔治·梅森大学(George Mason University)教授亚历克斯·塔巴罗克(Alex Tabarrok)在他的博客《边际革命》中的题为“政权不确定性”的一篇文章中所写的那样,对总统的关税可能并不能很好地发挥作用。 "This could mean everything from plummeting investments in tech to the loss of manufacturing jobs. A slowing economy and especially a

'如果这是特朗普想要的贸易战...':顶级经济学家将以管理员的“阿喀琉斯高跟鞋”为目标。

'If it's a trade war Trump wants ...': Top economist would target admin's 'Achilles heel'

As U.S. President Donald Trump weighed 25% tariffs he plans to impose on Canada and Mexico on Monday, with the White House sending mixed messages in recent days about when the levies will go into effect, a top progressive economist has proposed foreign countries should respond to "the trade war Trum

联邦债务上升的危险

Dangers of Rising Federal Debt

当谈到美国政府债务上升的危险时,我发现至少一些担心巨额债务的人想听一个“达摩克利斯之剑”的故事:也就是说,联邦债务悬在我们的经济之上,仅存于一根线,即使是一个小小的变化也可能导致它……继续阅读联邦债务上升的危险《联邦债务上升的危险》一文最先出现在《Conversable Economist》上。

结构-行为-绩效框架的兴起、衰落和遗产

The rise, fall and legacy of Structure-Conduct-Performance framework

蒂莫西·泰勒教授在他的超级博客 conversableeconomist 中指出了这篇追溯“结构-行为-绩效”框架历史的有趣论文:结构-行为-绩效范式是二十年来工业组织的核心框架,对 20 世纪 50 年代至 70 年代的竞争政策产生了重大影响。本文探讨了是什么让 SCP 框架在 […] 中如此有影响力

结构-行为-绩效:反垄断的早期一代

Structure-Conduct-Performance: An Earlier Generation of Antitrust

美国反托拉斯法的诞生可以追溯到 1890 年的《谢尔曼反托拉斯法》。该法律非常模糊且措辞不当,因此效果不大——尽管它确实提供了足够的力量来在 1911 年解散标准石油托拉斯。1914 年的《克莱顿反托拉斯法》以及……继续阅读结构-行为-绩效:反托拉斯的早期一代文章《结构-行为-绩效:反托拉斯的早期一代》首次出现在 Conversable Economist 上。

医生任期和临床生产力

Physician Tenure and Clinical Productivity

一项新研究探讨了退伍军人健康管理局的医生任期和临床生产力。文章《医生任期和临床生产力》首次出现在《The Incidental Economist》上。

有一种方法可以处理足球比赛中的脑损伤。这不是安全装备。

There’s a way to deal with brain injuries in football. It isn’t safety gear.

球员、教练和足球迷将使用新的防护装备与预防脑损伤混为一谈——这是任何设备都无法实现的壮举。文章《有一种方法可以处理足球中的脑损伤。它不是安全装备。》首次出现在《The Incidental Economist》上。

超级碗不仅仅是一场比赛

The Super Bowl Is About More Than Just The Game

超级碗不仅仅是一场比赛超级碗被大肆宣传,人们很容易忘记,归根结底,它还是一项体育赛事。然而,如果没有精彩的中场秀和转播期间播出的特别广告,超级碗可能就不会成为多年来的全球盛事。根据最近的 YouGov/Economist 民意调查,只有 30% 的美国人表示,他们最喜欢的是超级碗比赛本身。您可以在 Statista 找到更多信息图表与此同时,26% 的受访者表示,他们最喜欢广告,18% 的受访者对中场秀最为兴奋,中场秀由说唱歌手肯德里克·拉马尔 (Kendrick Lamar) 主持,他在上周日获得五项格莱美奖后,本周过得相当不错。谁将在新奥尔良举起隆巴迪奖杯?老鹰队和酋长队将在超级碗周日再次

联邦支出中有多少是借来的?

What Share of Federal Spending is Borrowed?

在最近一年或典型的一年中,联邦支出中有多少份额是借入的赤字支出?这是根据圣路易斯联邦储备银行运营的非常有用的 FRED 网站构建的数字。纵轴上的数字可以读作百分比:即 .2 是 20%,依此类推。 …继续阅读联邦支出中有多少份额是借来的?文章《联邦支出中有多少份额是借来的?》首次出现在《Conversable Economist》上。