Book Review: 21st Century Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve from the Great Inflation to COVID-19
布伦丹·布朗（Brendan Brown）审查了本·伯南克（Ben Bernanke）的21世纪货币政策：从高通货膨胀到199号的美联储。
Book Review: 21st Century Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve from the Great Inflation to COVID-19
格雷格·卡萨（Greg Kaza）审查了本·伯南克（Ben Bernanke）的21世纪货币政策：从高通货膨胀到19日的美联储。
Cost Of Living Is The Biggest Challenge Americans Face
Cost Of Living Is The Biggest Challenge Americans FaceWhile inflation has long come down from its 2021/2022 highs, when it peaked at 9 percent, it is still slightly elevated at 2.7 percent.More importantly though, people are still struggling to cope with the lasting effects of the inflation crisis.A
Real nonsupervisory payrolls and income in danger of tariff-driven stagnation
- 由New Deal Democtatlet的新交易看一看平均工作和中产阶级美国人的“真实”购买力。7月的工作报告显示，非经验工人的平均每小时收入略低于0.3％（下图中的蓝色）。消费者通货膨胀（红色）上涨了0.2％，因此“实际”平均每小时收益上涨了0.1％。 The below graph is the monthly changes in each over the last 24 months, showing that nominal monthly wage gains have slowly decelerated from over 0.3% to about 0.25%, wh
'Hawkish' FOMC Minutes Shows 'Majority' Fear Higher Inflation More Than Lower Employment
'Hawkish' FOMC Minutes Shows 'Majority' Fear Higher Inflation More Than Lower EmploymentSince the last 'dovish' FOMC statement (and Powell's post-statement 'hawkish' presser) on July 30th, we have had 'cool' payrolls print and 'hot' inflation prints with retail sales mixed... and now everyone is ant
UK inflation accelerates more than expected to 3.8%, highest since early 2024Some economists now expect interest rates to be on hold this year, while the EY Item Club forecasting group says November is a ‘close call’.Elliott Jordan-Doak, senior UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said:All told,
您也溺水了吗？：蔬菜上涨了38.9％，咖啡上涨了25％，电力价格上涨的速度是迈克尔·斯奈德（Michael Snyder）通过经济崩溃博客对通货膨胀率的两倍，您是否因财务压力而感到胃部打结？如果是这样，您当然有很多公司。突然之间，每个人都在谈论生活成本，价格上涨了我们周围的两位数百分比。现在有很多人觉得他们在“溺水”，因为无论他们在那里尝试多么努力，都没有足够的钱。 Unfortunately, we are being warned to brace ourselves for even more inflation in the months ahead.When I heard that
'Grim': Top economist says Americans in for a 'nasty shock' on inflation thanks to Trump
Citing President Donald Trump’s “really extreme policies on both trade and immigration,” and particularly his tariffs, Nobel Prize–winning economist Paul Krugman, one of the nation’s most prominent economic voices, is warning that the U.S. could soon face “stagflation”—a toxic mix of high inflation,
Core Inflation Nowcasts and Tracking
From Cleveland Fed, Goldman Sachs, plus Bloomberg consensus – generally, acceleration in the q/q annualized: Figure 1: Quarter-on-Quarter annualized inflation of CPI (bold black), Cleveland Fed nowcast as of 8/8 (gray square), Bloomberg consensus, Kalshi betting CT (chartreuse triangle), Goldman Sac
米ＦＯＭＣ（25年7月）－市場予想通り、5会合連続で政策金利を据え置き。理事2名が利下げを主張し反対票
联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）于7月29日至30日在美国举行。正如市场所预期的那样，联邦连续五次会议将其政策利率保持在4.25-4.5％。定量收紧政策没有变化。在这一货币政策决定中，两名美联储董事会成员反对这一决定，声称降低了0.25％的利率。这是自1993年12月以来的34年来第一次反对这两名董事。库格勒 - 会议缺席的董事。在这次发表的声明中，经济评估部分从以前的“以稳定的速度扩展到“缓慢的经济活动增长”，修订了。关于经济前景的不确定性，在经济前景部分中的先前声明“减少”已被删除。货币政策指导部分没有变化。政策利率保持不变。还可以预期，声明的更改仍然很小。鲍威尔主席的新闻发布会表示，尽管不
观看现场直播：'太晚了'鲍威尔解释了为什么尽管存在异议和增长疑问，但税率仍然不在桌面上……如所预期的那样。从概括起来，这种减速发生在贸易战的拖累之前就发生了，但显然，这对鲍威尔及其朋友来说并不重要（作为数据点）。 dramatically......because the lack of tariff-driven inflation is... transitory?Our first take is that the combination of a double dissent (pro cuts) and the recognition that growth is 'moderati
"I Gotta Own It": Bill Maher Admits He Was Dead Wrong About Trump Tariffs, 'Does Not See A Country In Depression'Left wing comedian Bill Maher admitted on Monday that he was dead wrong about the effect of President Trump's tariffs - saying in an episode of his "Club Random"podcast that while many ec
美联储的FAFO时刻是由QTR的边缘融资在一段时间内提出的，美联储像神职人员一样运作 - 在神秘中被欺骗，用谜语说话，并悄悄地拉动了地球上最强大的货币体系的杠杆。没人在乎。 Nobody needed to care.Monetary policy was the domain of bespectacled economists in windowless offices, not something the average American could explain—let alone mock with a meme.But that era is over.Today, thanks
Fed Forecasts: No Cuts or Three Cuts in 2025?
今年还有剩下四次FOMC会议：7月，9月，10月和12月。 It is very unlikely that the FOMC will cut rates next week, but there are very different views on the rest of 2025.First, from BofA: With the u-rate rising more gradually in our new forecast and core PCE inflation likely to reach 3% over the summer, we don't think the F
Trump Should Index The Capital Gains Tax For Inflation
特朗普应该通过《时代时报》（强调我们的）为通货膨胀征收税收税，唐纳德·特朗普总统应跟进他历史悠久的“大，美丽”税收法案，并通过立即为经济征收额外的助推器来为经济付出额外的助推器，而不需要通过筹款。我们在政府中的消息来源告诉我们，特朗普对这样做很感兴趣。通货膨胀率的税收显然是不公平的。考虑一名中产阶级投资者，他以10,000美元的价格在拜登总统期间购买了一张股票，并在四年后以12,200美元的估值出售了这笔股票。投资者将以2200美元的“收益”支付约400美元的税款。 But over that time period, prices of everything rose on average
Adobe Digital Price Index Torpedoes Democrats' Inflationary Tariff Storm Propaganda
Adobe数字价格指数Torpedo会在周二的消费者价格指数（CPI）印刷品（CPI）印刷之前的通货膨胀关税暴风雨宣传（这可以确定9月份的税率价格是否在6月份的数字通货膨胀率之一中出现在9月份的降价中，这表明在6月份的缩水显示出来，没有任何指示，而没有任何指示。这与左派企业媒体和密歇根情绪调查所推动的通货膨胀启示的叙述相去甚远。 Adobe数字价格指数（Adobe Analytics（Adobe Analytics）具有能力的通货膨胀计，该通货膨胀量表跟踪在线价格，类似于CPI，但专注于数字商务 - 6月份的年度为-2.09％。诸如服装（-7.68％），电子产品（-2.66％）和杂货（-2.
USD/CHF Slides to 0.85 as Swiss Inflation Surprises to the Downside
请注意，我们无权提供任何投资建议。此页面上的内容仅用于信息目的。 The U.S. dollar fell sharply against the Swiss franc on Saturday, with the USD/CHF pair dropping to 0.8502, its lowest level since April 2022, after new data showed Swiss inflation cooled more than… Continue reading USD/CHF Slides to 0.85 as Swiss Inflation Surprises
Former Treasury officials slam MAGA's path to fiscal destruction in scathing op-ed
前财政部秘书罗伯特·鲁宾（Robert E. Rubin）和劳伦斯·H·萨默斯（Lawrence H. “We paired policies that reduced the deficit with others that stimulated investment. That set off a virtuous economic cycle of growth, deficit reduction, lower interest rates and thus more investment and growth. Fiscal responsibility helped contain
