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Despite the Bank cutting interest rates this month UK inflation numbers have picked up a notch, but as noted above this increase was generally in line with the Bank's expectations. Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation hit 2.2% in the 12 months to July 2024, up from 2.0% in June (Figure 1). This rate remains within the Bank's central symmetrical target for CPI inflation of 2% ±1% and was below what most commentators had been expecting. Looking at the drivers of inflation the ONS noted that the largest upward contribution to the monthly change “came from housing and household services where prices of gas and electricity fell by less than they did last year; the largest downward contribution came from restaurants and hotels, where prices of hotels fell this year having risen last year”. Still beyond the headline rate other measures of inflation are continuing to slow. Core CPI (excluding volatile energy, food, alcohol and tobacco prices) inflation was 3.3% over the year to July 2024, down from 3.5% in June. The CPI goods annual rate remained negative but rose from negative 1.4% to negative 0.6%. The CPI services annual rate, fell from 5.7% in June to 5.2% in July; this was a greater drop in that measure of inflation than expected by most analysts.
伦敦今日经济 - 第 264 期 - 2024 年 8 月
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