Brad DeLong领域信息情报检索

经济历史、经济学、政治经济学、金融与预测。在一个充满越来越深入和复杂问题的世界中,致力于使您(和我)更聪明......点击阅读Brad DeLong的Grasping Reality,这是一份拥有成千上万读者的Substack出版物。

“任何足够先进的技术问题都与诅咒无异”:当天的笑声

"Any Sufficiently Advanced Technological Problem Is Indistinguishable from a Curse": LAUGH OF THE DAY

克拉克第三定律有一个黑暗的双胞胎:亚瑟·C.克拉克拒绝写的推论......

艾米莉·威尔逊对克里斯托弗·诺兰改编的《奥德赛》的过度愤怒似乎值得一提:人文

Emily Wilson's Inordinate Rage Against Christopher Nolan's "Odyssey" Adaptation Seems Worth a Note: HUMANITIES

这里的能量从何而来?感觉就像快速浏览了任何有心人可能会想到的每一个批评......

我是否选择了错误的一周来考虑是否“重新启动”我的子堆栈?

Have I Picked the Wrong Week to Ponder Whether to "Relaunch" My SubStack?

用一个隐喻的谜语来说:SubStack 现在已经到达斯摩棱斯克了吗?是 1812 年吗?那么现在更加坚定地投入到这个事业中是否明智呢?

(部分-)交叉帖子:MIKE BROCK:埃里森之家濒临崩溃

(PARTIAL-)CROSSPOST: MIKE BROCK: The House of Ellison is on the Brink

迈克·布洛克 (Mike Brock) 的副标题:“世界上最富有的人短暂建立的一切都会立即失败”;令人担忧的是,甲骨文陷入了困境:没有人会购买的产品;尾巴,没有定价权...

交叉帖子:丹·戴维斯:米高梅事件

CROSSPOST: DAN DAVIES: The MGM Affair

Dan 的副标题:“non è ben trovato, è vero”;这是颠倒佐丹奴布鲁诺的“se non è vero, è ben trovato...”——“即使这不是真的,这也是一个好故事...”;这是一个好故事,而且是真实的......

从档案中提取:小说类型

HOISTED FROM THE ARCHIVES: Types of Fictions

MOAR人应该阅读已故伊恩·班克斯的小说,这就是我所说的。十七又四分之一年前,正值网络博客的黄金时代。读者对小说的一些阅读和思考...

(部分-)CROSSPOST:TAYLOR LORENZ:模型行为

(PARTIAL-)CROSSPOST: TAYLOR LORENZ: Model Behavior

副标题:“开始一个关于作家、思想家、创造者和 AI 的诚实系列——科技记者如何与 AI 合作......”Taylor Lorenz 拥有 20 个 AI 工具并强化了“人类编写”的山丘......

是时候写我对内特·西尔弗的新书《边缘》的负面评论了!:从档案中提取

Time to Write My Negative Review of Nate Silver's New Book "On the Edge"!: HOISTED FROM THE ARCHIVES

从 2024 年 10 月 20 日开始。这是我当时关于这个主题的大脑核心转储。至少对我来说,内特·西尔弗(Nate Silver)的策略是在正式的机会游戏和大赌注之间建立直接联系......

已故的前爱荷华州共和党国会议员吉姆·利奇 (Jim Leach) 如何在 Nate Silver 的头脑中仍然过着免租的生活

How the Late Former Iowa Republican Congressman Jim Leach Still Lives Rent-Free in the Head of Nate Silver

利奇今年已经 84 岁了。来自爱荷华州的前共和党国会议员,1977 年至 2007 年在美国众议院任职。1/6 后他转投民主党——这是他做过的为数不多的好事之一......

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Josh Marshall's Ire Is Activated by Nate Silver: ANNOYANCE OF THE DAY

style="text-indent: 2em; ""Boring and dumb... or kinda funny" ("apart from Iran"). That is Nate Silver's judgment on Donald Trump's actions this summer. Josh Marshall is rightly annoyed. I share that annoyance...

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SubStack/Pangram is Scanning the SubStack Corpus for AI-Generated Content, & Labelling It!

style="text-indent: 2em; "Public reason. Or, rather, public non-reason here in 2026, with the rising tide of AI-slop, and attempts to channel it...

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CROSSPOST: Lyz Lenz: Who Will You Blame When They [the Haitian Immigrants] Are Gone?

style="text-indent: 2em; "Lyz Lenz "did not intend to come to Springfield, Ohio, the week that temporary protected status (TPS) ended for Haitian immigrants"; Trump is truly an evil, racist monster. And so is JD Vance...

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(PARTIAL-)CROSSPOST: WILLIAM DAVIES: Review of "When the Clock Broke: Con Men, Conspiracists & the Origins of Trumpism" by John Ganz

style="text-indent: 2em; "Davies's original title is a quote from Murray Rothbard his goal was to "Repeal the 20th Century"; how 1992's losers became 2016-2028's winners; or, a neo-Foucauldian genealogy of MAGA, DOGE, & al...

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The LLM-Generating Machine Underneath the Dining-Room Side-Table Hallucinates Again: MONDAY MAMLMS

style="text-indent: 2em; "The most revealing move was anthropic/claude-opus4:8's own recommended fix: get the LLM out of the loop entirely...

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Things Have Gone too Far!: LAUGH OF THE DAY

style="text-indent: 2em; "Is it time to start writing for Bari Weiss's Free Press Substack and start denouncing the woke oatmilk hegemony here at UC Berkeley?...

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CROSSPOST: ALAN WOLFF: Trump's New Tariffs Over Forced Labor Are Unlikely to Survive a Court Challenge

style="text-indent: 2em; "The subheadline: "The Trump administration is again shifting its stated rationale for placing comprehensive tariffs...". 60-country tariffs in search of a human-rights pretextual costume...

特斯拉汽车公司:当日图表

Tesla Motors: CHART OF THE DAY

一家价值 500 亿美元的公司穿着价值 1.2 万亿美元的神奇彩虹独角兽服装...

(半)交叉帖子:KELSEY PIPER:是的,你可以欺骗 AI 来为某人开脱

(SEMI-)CROSSPOST: KELSEY PIPER: Yes, You Can Trick AI into Exonerating Someone

凯尔西的副标题:“弗朗西斯卡·吉诺、劳伦斯·莱斯格和虚假人工智能共识的威胁”。拉里·莱西格 (Larry Lessig) 使用“AI”对你自己的大脑发起了毁灭性且成功的认知攻击......