* Angeletos:西北大学和NBER; angeletos@northwestern.edu; Lian:UC Berkeley和Nber; chen_lian@berkeley.edu;沃尔夫:麻省理工学院和nber; ckwolf@mit.edu。我们感谢Marco Bassetto和Morten Ravn的宝贵会议讨论。For helpful comments and suggestions, we thank Manuel Amador, Francesco Bianchi, Larry Christiano, John Cochrane, Jordí Gali, Joao Guerreiro, Joel Flynn, Mikhail Golosov, Greg Kaplan, Hanno Lustig, Emi Nakamura, Matthew Rognlie, Jón Steinsson, Ludwig Straub, Iván Werning,Mike Woodford和研讨会的参与者:欧洲央行,秘鲁的期望,价格和货币政策会议,亚特兰大的联邦储备银行,费城,费城和明尼阿波利斯,Hydra hydra hydra动态宏观经济学研讨会,NBER Summer Institute,MacRo-Summer Institute,MacRo-eco-seritosition,Macroecal Spition,fistan cigford cigford,Stan cig Forder,Stan stan cig,Stan stan stan cig,Stan理论与政策,加州大学伯克利分校,UCL和芝加哥大学。Chen Lian感谢Alfred P. Sloan基金会的财政支持,而Christian Wolf承认,该材料基于NSF在Grant#2314736下支持的工作。
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