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商业周期指标加2月的工作
Ballpark adjustment to GDPNow: Figure 1: GDP (bold black), February SPF median (light blue), NY Fed nowcast of 2/28 for Q1 (blue square), GDPNow nowcast of 3/6 (red triangle), Alternative GDPNow holding import effect of 2/28 to GS estimate (pink square), Goldman Sachs tracking of 3/6 (light green inverted三角形),全部以q/q ar,%。 […]
来源:经济浏览器调整到GDPNOW的球场:
Figure 1: GDP (bold black), February SPF median (light blue), NY Fed nowcast of 2/28 for Q1 (blue square), GDPNow nowcast of 3/6 (red triangle), Alternative GDPNow holding import effect of 2/28 to GS estimate (pink square), Goldman Sachs tracking of 3/6 (light green inverted triangle), all in q/q AR, %.资料来源:BEA,费城美联储,纽约美联储,亚特兰大美联储,高盛和作者的计算。
图1:调整后的GDPNOW生长(Q/Q AR)为 +0.55%,基本上仍高于零。